Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27732819›Full record

Trial reportThe New England journal of medicine2016

A Randomized, Controlled Trial of ZMapp for Ebola Virus Infection.

PREVAIL II Writing Group, Multi-National PREVAIL II Study Team, Richard T Davey, Lori Dodd, Michael A Proschan, James Neaton, Jacquie Neuhaus Nordwall, Joseph S Koopmeiners, John Beigel, John Tierney and 5 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract readComparative StudyMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in The New England journal of medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02363322 (A Multicenter Randomized Safety and Efficacy Study of Putative Investigational Therapeutics in the Treatment of Patients With Known Ebola Infection), which is not on this map. Cited by 254 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
254citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02363322 phase1 / phase2completednot on this map

A Multicenter Randomized Safety and Efficacy Study of Putative Investigational Therapeutics in the Treatment of Patients With Known Ebola Infection

TypeinterventionalSponsorNational Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID)Ran2015 to 2017Enrolled72ConditionsEbola Virus InfectionArmsB/Current Standard of Care Plus ZMapp, A/Current Standard of Care Alone
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

254 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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194 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

PREVAIL II Writing Group
Multi-National PREVAIL II Study Team
Richard T Davey
Lori Dodd
Michael A Proschan
James Neaton
Jacquie Neuhaus Nordwall
Joseph S Koopmeiners
John Beigel
John Tierney
H Clifford Lane
Anthony S Fauci
Moses B F Massaquoi
Foday Sahr
Denis Malvy

Funding

Influenza and Emerging Infectious DiseasesZIAAI000984 · NIAID · NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASES · PI DAVEY, RICHARD · 2009 to 2025
$44.1M
Influenza and Emerging Infectious DiseasesZ01AI000984 · NIAID · NIAID EXTRAMURAL ACTIVITIES · PI DAVEY, RICHARD · 2007 to 2008
$2.0M
Intramural NIH HHS Z01 AI000984
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundData from studies in nonhuman primates suggest that the triple monoclonal antibody cocktail ZMapp is a promising immune-based treatment for Ebola virus disease (EVD).

methodsBeginning in March 2015, we conducted a randomized, controlled trial of ZMapp plus the current standard of care as compared with the current standard of care alone in patients with EVD that was diagnosed in West Africa by polymerase-chain-reaction (PCR) assay. Eligible patients of any age were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive either the current standard of care or the current standard of care plus three intravenous infusions of ZMapp (50 mg per kilogram of body weight, administered every third day). Patients were stratified according to baseline PCR cycle-threshold value for the virus (≤22 vs. >22) and country of enrollment. Oral favipiravir was part of the current standard of care in Guinea. The primary end point was mortality at 28 days.

resultsA total of 72 patients were enrolled at sites in Liberia, Sierra Leone, Guinea, and the United States. Of the 71 patients who could be evaluated, 21 died, representing an overall case fatality rate of 30%. Death occurred in 13 of 35 patients (37%) who received the current standard of care alone and in 8 of 36 patients (22%) who received the current standard of care plus ZMapp. The observed posterior probability that ZMapp plus the current standard of care was superior to the current standard of care alone was 91.2%, falling short of the prespecified threshold of 97.5%. Frequentist analyses yielded similar results (absolute difference in mortality with ZMapp, -15 percentage points; 95% confidence interval, -36 to 7). Baseline viral load was strongly predictive of both mortality and duration of hospitalization in all age groups.

conclusionsIn this randomized, controlled trial of a putative therapeutic agent for EVD, although the estimated effect of ZMapp appeared to be beneficial, the result did not meet the prespecified statistical threshold for efficacy. (Funded by the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and others; PREVAIL II ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02363322 .).

Indexed as

EbolavirusAdolescentAdultAfrica, WesternAmidesAntibodies, MonoclonalBayes TheoremChildCombined Modality TherapyFemaleHemorrhagic Fever, EbolaHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMalePolymerase Chain ReactionPyrazinesAmidesAntibodies, MonoclonalfavipiravirPyrazinesZMapp

Identifiers

PMID27732819
PMCPMC5086427

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.