ArticlePloS one2016
Long-Term Prediction of the Demand of Colonoscopies Generated by a Population-Based Colorectal Cancer Screening Program.
Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
13 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- National Data Analysis and Systematic Review for Human Resources for Cervical Cancer Screening in Japan.Asian Pacific journal of cancer prevention : APJCP · 2021Pooled it
- Simulation modeling validity and utility in colorectal cancer screening delivery: A systematic review.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2020Pooled it
- Risk Stratification to Optimize Colorectal Cancer Screening: Development and Validation of a Decision-Tree Model for Colonoscopy Prioritization.Digestive endoscopy : official journal of the Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society · 2026Article
- Restrictive diets are unnecessary for colonoscopy: Non-inferiority randomized trial.Endoscopy international open · 2024Article
- Implementation of BSG/ACPGBI/PHE polypectomy surveillance guidelines safely reduces the burden of surveillance in a screening cohort: a virtual model study.BMJ open gastroenterology · 2023Article
- Forthcoming Step in Gastric Cancer Prevention: How Can Risk Stratification Be Combined with Endoscopic Screening for Gastric Cancer?Gut and liver · 2022Review
- Robotic, self-propelled, self-steerable, and disposable colonoscopes: Reality or pipe dream? A state of the art review.World journal of gastroenterology · 2022Review
- Active Stabilization of Interventional Tasks Utilizing a Magnetically Manipulated Endoscope.Frontiers in robotics and AI · 2022Article
- Patient outcomes: The only size that eventually matters in dealing with colonic neoplasia.Endoscopy international open · 2021Article
- Enabling the future of colonoscopy with intelligent and autonomous magnetic manipulation.Nature machine intelligence · 2020Article
- The cumulative false-positive rate in colorectal cancer screening: a Markov analysis.European journal of gastroenterology & hepatology · 2020Article
- Global perspective on colonoscopy use for colorectal cancer screening: A multi-country survey of practicing colonoscopists.Contemporary clinical trials communications · 2017Article
- Colorectal Cancer Screening within Colonoscopy Capacity Constraints: Can FIT-Based Programs Save More Lives by Trading off More Sensitive Test Cutoffs against Longer Screening Intervals?MDM policy & practiceArticle
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectiveTo estimate the long-term need for colonoscopies after a positive fecal immunochemical test (FIT) and post-polypectomy surveillance in the context of a population-based colorectal cancer (CRC) screening program.
methodsA discrete-event simulation model was built to reproduce the process of CRC screening and post-polypectomy surveillance following European guidelines in a population of 100,000 men and women aged 50-69 years over a 20-year period. Screening consisted of biennial FIT and colonoscopy in participants with positive results. The model was mainly fed using data from the first and second rounds of a Spanish program (2010-2013). Data on post-polypectomy surveillance results were obtained from the literature. A probabilistic multivariate sensitivity analysis was performed on the effect of participation, FIT positivity, and adherence to surveillance colonoscopies. The main outcome variables were the number of colonoscopies after a positive FIT, surveillance colonoscopies, and the overall number of colonoscopies.
resultsAn average yearly number of 1,200 colonoscopies after a positive FIT were predicted per 100,000 inhabitants with a slight increase to 1,400 at the end of the 20-year period. Surveillance colonoscopies increased to an average of 1,000 per 100,000 inhabitants in the long-term, showing certain stabilization in the last years of the 20-year simulation horizon. The results were highly sensitive to FIT positivity.
conclusionsImplementing a population-based CRC screening program will increase the demand for colonoscopies, which is expected to double in 20 years, mainly due to an increase in surveillance colonoscopies.
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