Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27729483›Full record

ArticleBiology letters2016

Extinction intensity, selectivity and their combined macroevolutionary influence in the fossil record.

Jonathan L Payne, Andrew M Bush, Ellen T Chang, Noel A Heim, Matthew L Knope, Sara B Pruss

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biology letters, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. How predictable are mass extinction events?Royal Society open science · 2023
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. How predictable is extinction? Forecasting species survival at million-year timescales.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2019
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Jonathan L PayneDepartment of Geological Sciences, Stanford University, Standford, CA, USA jlpayne@stanford.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-9601-3310
Andrew M BushDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Center for Integrative Geosciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA.
Ellen T ChangDivision of Epidemiology, Department of Health Research and Policy, Stanford University School of Medicine, Standford, CA, USA.
Noel A HeimDepartment of Geological Sciences, Stanford University, Standford, CA, USA.
Matthew L KnopeDepartment of Biology, University of Hawaii, Hilo, HI, USA.
Sara B PrussDepartment of Geosciences, Smith College, Northampton, MA, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The macroevolutionary effects of extinction derive from both intensity of taxonomic losses and selectivity of losses with respect to ecology, physiology and/or higher taxonomy. Increasingly, palaeontologists are using logistic regression to quantify extinction selectivity because the selectivity metric is independent of extinction intensity and multiple predictor variables can be assessed simultaneously. We illustrate the use of logistic regression with an analysis of physiological buffering capacity and extinction risk in the Phanerozoic marine fossil record. We propose the geometric mean of extinction intensity and selectivity as a metric for the influence of extinction events. The end-Permian mass extinction had the largest influence on the physiological composition of the fauna owing to its combination of high intensity and strong selectivity. In addition to providing a quantitative measure of influence to compare among past events, this approach provides an avenue for quantifying the risk posed by the emerging biodiversity crisis that goes beyond a simple projection of taxonomic losses.

Indexed as

Biological EvolutionExtinction, BiologicalFossilsAnimalsAquatic OrganismsLogistic Modelsextinctionmacroevolutionphysiology

Identifiers

PMID27729483
PMCPMC5095185

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.