ArticleScientific reports2016
Navigable rivers facilitated the spread and recurrence of plague in pre-industrial Europe.
Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- Big Epidemiology: The Birth, Life, Death, and Resurgence of Diseases on a Global Timescale.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Review
- Relationship between climatic factors and the flea index of two plague hosts in Xilingol League, Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region.Biosafety and health · 2024Article
- Acceleration of plague outbreaks in the second pandemic.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020Article
- Climate drivers of plague epidemiology in British India, 1898-1949.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2020Article
- The 'light touch' of the Black Death in the Southern Netherlands: an urban trick?The Economic history review · 2019Article
- Integrative approach usingProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2018Article
- A critical review of anthropological studies on skeletons from European plague pits of different epochs.Scientific reports · 2018Review
- Pre-industrial plague transmission is mediated by the synergistic effect of temperature and aridity index.BMC infectious diseases · 2018Article
- Trade routes and plague transmission in pre-industrial Europe.Scientific reports · 2017Article
- The sex-selective impact of the Black Death and recurring plagues in the Southern Netherlands, 1349-1450.American journal of physical anthropology · 2017Article
- Climate and society in long-term perspective: Opportunities and pitfalls in the use of historical datasets.Wiley interdisciplinary reviews. Climate changeReview
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3 authors.
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Abstract
Infectious diseases have become a rising challenge to mankind in a globalizing world. Yet, little is known about the inland transmission of infectious diseases in history. In this study, we based on the spatio-temporal information of 5559 plague (Yersinia pestis) outbreaks in Europe and its neighboring regions in AD1347-1760 to statistically examine the connection between navigable rivers and plague outbreak. Our results showed that 95.5% of plague happened within 10 km proximity of navigable rivers. Besides, the count of plague outbreak was positively correlated with the width of river and negatively correlated with the distance between city and river. This association remained robust in different regression model specifications. An increase of 100 m in the width of river and a shortening of 1 km distance between city and river resulted in 9 and 0.96 more plague outbreaks in our study period, respectively. Such relationship shows a declining trend over our study period due to the expansion of city and technological advancement in overland transportation. This study elucidates the key role of navigable river in the dissemination of plague in historical Europe.
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