Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27709979›Full record

Trial reportJournal of abnormal psychology2017

Risk factors that predict future onset of each DSM-5 eating disorder: Predictive specificity in high-risk adolescent females.

Eric Stice, Jeff M Gau, Paul Rohde, Heather Shaw

Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract readClinical Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of abnormal psychology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT05264376 (Evaluating an Eating Disorder Prevention Program for Young Women With Type 1 Diabetes), which is not on this map. Cited by 217 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
217citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
41.5field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05264376 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

Evaluating an Eating Disorder Prevention Program for Young Women With Type 1 Diabetes

TypeinterventionalSponsorStanford UniversityRan2022 to 2023Enrolled55ConditionsEating Disorders, Type 1 DiabetesArmsDiabetes Body Project, Educational Control
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

217 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 533 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Body image, self-esteem, emotion regulation, and eating disorders in adults: a systematic review.Neuropsychiatrie : Klinik, Diagnostik, Therapie und Rehabilitation : Organ der Gesellschaft Osterreichischer Nervenarzte und Psychiater · 2025
    Pooled it
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  3. Eating disorder risk during behavioral weight management in adults with overweight or obesity: A systematic review with meta-analysis.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2023
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  10. Oxytocin Amplifies Negative Response to Ambiguity in Adolescent Females With and Without Eating Disorders.European eating disorders review : the journal of the Eating Disorders Association · 2025
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157 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Eric SticeOregon Research Institute.
Jeff M GauOregon Research Institute.
Paul RohdeOregon Research Institute.
Heather ShawOregon Research Institute.
Oregon Research Institute · US

Funding

Eating Disorders Prevention: An Effectiveness Trial for At-Risk College StudentsR01MH086582 · NIMH · OREGON RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI BUTRYN, MEGHAN, STICE, ERIC M · 2010 to 2014
$2.9M
Eating Disorder Prevention Program Effectiveness TrialR01MH070699 · NIMH · OREGON RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI STICE, ERIC M · 2005 to 2009
$1.9M
NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH070699NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH086582
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Because no single report has examined risk factors that predict future onset each type of eating disorder and core symptom dimensions that crosscut disorders, we addressed these aims to advance knowledge regarding risk factor specificity. Data from 3 prevention trials that targeted young women with body dissatisfaction (N = 1,272; Mage = 18.5, SD = 4.2) and collected annual diagnostic interview data over 3-year follow-up were combined to identify predictors of subthreshold/threshold anorexia nervosa (AN), bulimia nervosa (BN), binge eating disorder (BED), and purging disorder (PD). Negative affect and functional impairment predicted onset of all eating disorders. Thin-ideal internalization, body dissatisfaction, dieting, overeating, and mental health care predicted onset of subthreshold/threshold BN, BED, and PD; positive thinness expectations, denial of cost of pursuing the thin ideal, and fasting predicted onset of 2 of these 3 disorders. Similar risk factors predicted core eating disorder symptom onset. Low BMI and dieting specifically predicted onset of subthreshold/threshold AN or low BMI. Only a subset of factors showed unique predictive effects in multivariate models, likely due to moderate correlations between the risk factors (M r = .14). Results provide support for the theory that pursuit of the thin ideal and the resulting body dissatisfaction, dieting, and unhealthy weight control behaviors increase risk for binge/purge spectrum eating disorders, but suggest that youth who are inherently lean, rather than purposely pursuing the thin ideal, are at risk for AN. Impaired interpersonal functioning and negative affect are transdiagnostic risk factors, suggesting these factors should be targeted in prevention programs. (PsycINFO Database Record

Indexed as

Feeding and Eating DisordersAdolescentAnorexia NervosaBinge-Eating DisorderBulimia NervosaDiagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental DisordersFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansRisk FactorsSensitivity and Specificity

Identifiers

PMID27709979
PMCPMC5215960
OpenAlexW2529662426

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.