Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27703197›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2016

COMPASS: A computational model to predict changes in MMSE scores 24-months after initial assessment of Alzheimer's disease.

Fan Zhu, Bharat Panwar, Hiroko H Dodge, Hongdong Li, Benjamin M Hampstead, Roger L Albin, Henry L Paulson, Yuanfang Guan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Building Computational Models to Predict One-Year Mortality in ICU Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction and Post Myocardial Infarction Syndrome.AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science proceedings. AMIA Joint Summits on Translational Science · 2019
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Longitudinal Study-Based Dementia Prediction for Public Health.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2017
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Fan ZhuDepartment of Computational Medicine and Bioinformatics, University of Michigan, USA.
Bharat PanwarDepartment of Computational Medicine and Bioinformatics, University of Michigan, USA.
Hiroko H DodgeDepartment of Neurology and Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Center, University of Michigan, USA.
Hongdong LiDepartment of Computational Medicine and Bioinformatics, University of Michigan, USA.
Benjamin M HampsteadDepartment of Psychiatry, University of Michigan, USA.
Roger L AlbinDepartment of Neurology and Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Center, University of Michigan, USA.
Henry L PaulsonDepartment of Neurology and Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Center, University of Michigan, USA.
Yuanfang GuanDepartment of Computational Medicine and Bioinformatics, University of Michigan, USA.

Funding

Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative - SupplementU01AG024904 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE RES &EDUC · PI WEINER, MICHAEL W · 2004 to 2015
$121.0M
Outreach, Recruitment and Education CoreP30AG008017 · NIA · OREGON HEALTH & SCIENCE UNIVERSITY · PI DODGE, HIROKO HAYAMA · 1990 to 2019
$27.7M
Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Core CenterP30AG053760 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LIEBERMAN, ANDREW P · 2016 to 2020
$10.1M
Public Outreach and Education CoreP50NS091856 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ALBIN, ROGER L · 2014 to 2019
$10.1M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG008017NIA NIH HHS P30 AG053760NIA NIH HHS U01 AG024904NINDS NIH HHS P50 NS091856
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present COMPASS, a COmputational Model to Predict the development of Alzheimer's diSease Spectrum, to model Alzheimer's disease (AD) progression. This was the best-performing method in recent crowdsourcing benchmark study, DREAM Alzheimer's Disease Big Data challenge to predict changes in Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) scores over 24-months using standardized data. In the present study, we conducted three additional analyses beyond the DREAM challenge question to improve the clinical contribution of our approach, including: (1) adding pre-validated baseline cognitive composite scores of ADNI-MEM and ADNI-EF, (2) identifying subjects with significant declines in MMSE scores, and (3) incorporating SNPs of top 10 genes connected to APOE identified from functional-relationship network. For (1) above, we significantly improved predictive accuracy, especially for the Mild Cognitive Impairment (MCI) group. For (2), we achieved an area under ROC of 0.814 in predicting significant MMSE decline: our model has 100% precision at 5% recall, and 91% accuracy at 10% recall. For (3), "genetic only" model has Pearson's correlation of 0.15 to predict progression in the MCI group. Even though addition of this limited genetic model to COMPASS did not improve prediction of progression of MCI group, the predictive ability of SNP information extended beyond well-known APOE allele.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationDatabases, FactualDisease ProgressionModels, NeurologicalAlzheimer DiseaseFemaleHumansMale

Identifiers

PMID27703197
PMCPMC5050516

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.