Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27699911›Full record

ArticleHuman brain mapping2017

Individual prediction of long-term outcome in adolescents at ultra-high risk for psychosis: Applying machine learning techniques to brain imaging data.

Sanne de Wit, Tim B Ziermans, M Nieuwenhuis, Patricia F Schothorst, Herman van Engeland, René S Kahn, Sarah Durston, Hugo G Schnack

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human brain mapping, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. A Review of Potential Neuroimaging Biomarkers of Schizophrenia-Risk.Journal of psychiatry and brain science · 2023
    Article
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  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
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  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Overlapping Neurobiological Substrates for Early-Life Stress and Resilience to Psychosis.Biological psychiatry. Cognitive neuroscience and neuroimaging · 2021
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Sanne de WitDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Utrecht, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Tim B ZiermansDepartment of Clinical Child and Adolescent Studies, Leiden University, Leiden, the Netherlands.
M NieuwenhuisDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Utrecht, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Patricia F SchothorstDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Utrecht, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Herman van EngelandDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Utrecht, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
René S KahnDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Utrecht, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Sarah DurstonDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Utrecht, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Hugo G SchnackDepartment of Psychiatry, University Medical Center Utrecht, Brain Center Rudolf Magnus, Utrecht, the Netherlands.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

An important focus of studies of individuals at ultra-high risk (UHR) for psychosis has been to identify biomarkers to predict which individuals will transition to psychosis. However, the majority of individuals will prove to be resilient and go on to experience remission of their symptoms and function well. The aim of this study was to investigate the possibility of using structural MRI measures collected in UHR adolescents at baseline to quantitatively predict their long-term clinical outcome and level of functioning. We included 64 UHR individuals and 62 typically developing adolescents (12-18 years old at recruitment). At six-year follow-up, we determined resilience for 43 UHR individuals. Support Vector Regression analyses were performed to predict long-term functional and clinical outcome from baseline MRI measures on a continuous scale, instead of the more typical binary classification. This led to predictive correlations of baseline MR measures with level of functioning, and negative and disorganization symptoms. The highest correlation (r = 0.42) was found between baseline subcortical volumes and long-term level of functioning. In conclusion, our results show that structural MRI data can be used to quantitatively predict long-term functional and clinical outcome in UHR individuals with medium effect size, suggesting that there may be scope for predicting outcome at the individual level. Moreover, we recommend classifying individual outcome on a continuous scale, enabling the assessment of different functional and clinical scales separately without the need to set a threshold. Hum Brain Mapp 38:704-714, 2017. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.

Indexed as

Machine LearningAdolescentBrainChildHumansImage Processing, Computer-AssistedMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleNeuropsychological TestsPredictive Value of TestsPsychiatric Status Rating ScalesPsychotic DisordersRisk FactorsROC Curvebrain imagingmachine-learningoutcomepredictionpsychosisultra-high risk

Identifiers

PMID27699911
PMCPMC6866746

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.