Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27695107›Full record

ArticlePloS one2016

Climate Change Influences on the Global Potential Distribution of the Mosquito Culex quinquefasciatus, Vector of West Nile Virus and Lymphatic Filariasis.

Abdallah M Samy, Arwa H Elaagip, Mohamed A Kenawy, Constância F J Ayres, A Townsend Peterson, Doaa E Soliman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 121 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
121citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

121 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. The impact of climate change on neglected tropical diseases: a systematic review.Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene · 2021
    Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. High-resolution characterisation of diel activity rhythms inCurrent research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2026
    Article
  9. Presence ofCurrent research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2026
    Article
  10. Public health consequences of global climate change. A narrative review.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2026
    Review
  11. Review
  12. [Identification ofJugan geon-gang gwa jilbyeong · 2025
    Article
  13. Predicting the ecological niches ofFrontiers in tropical diseases · 2025
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Review
  17. Chemical Composition and Biological Activities ofMolecules (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  18. Review
  19. Article
  20. Review

61 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Abdallah M SamyEntomology Department, Faculty of Science, Ain Shams University, Abbassia, Cairo 11566, Egypt.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3978-1134
Arwa H ElaagipDepartment of Parasitology and Medical Entomology, Faculty of Medical Laboratory Sciences, University of Khartoum, Khartoum, Sudan.
Mohamed A KenawyEntomology Department, Faculty of Science, Ain Shams University, Abbassia, Cairo 11566, Egypt.
Constância F J AyresEntomology Department, Centro de Pesquisas Aggeu Magalhães, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Recife-PE, Brazil.
A Townsend PetersonBiodiversity Institute, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS 66045, United States of America.
Doaa E SolimanEntomology Department, Faculty of Science, Ain Shams University, Abbassia, Cairo 11566, Egypt.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Rapid emergence of most vector-borne diseases (VBDs) may be associated with range expansion of vector populations. Culex quinquefasciatus Say 1823 is a potential vector of West Nile virus, Saint Louis encephalitis virus, and lymphatic filariasis. We estimated the potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus under both current and future climate conditions. The present potential distribution of Cx. quinquefasciatus showed high suitability across low-latitude parts of the world, reflecting the current distribution of the species. Suitable conditions were identified also in narrow zones of North Africa and Western Europe. Model transfers to future conditions showed a potential distribution similar to that under present-day conditions, although with higher suitability in southern Australia. Highest stability with changing climate was between 30°S and 30°N. The areas present high agreement among diverse climate models as regards distributional potential in the future, but differed in anticipating potential for distribution in North and Central Africa, southern Asia, central USA, and southeastern Europe. Highest disparity in model predictions across representative concentration pathways (RCPs) was in Saudi Arabia and Europe. The model predictions allow anticipation of changing distributional potential of the species in coming decades.

Indexed as

Africa, NorthernAnimalsClimate ChangeCulexEuropeHumansInsect VectorsSaudi ArabiaUnited StatesWest Nile FeverWest Nile virusZika VirusZika Virus Infection

Identifiers

PMID27695107
PMCPMC5047650

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.