Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27683363›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2016

Reconstructing the emergence of a lethal infectious disease of wildlife supports a key role for spread through translocations by humans.

Stephen J Price, Trenton W J Garner, Andrew A Cunningham, Tom E S Langton, Richard A Nichols

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
22citing papers in PubMed
8.0field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

22 citing papers in PubMed, 87 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Stephen J PriceUCL Genetics Institute, University College London, Darwin Building, Gower Street, London WC1E 6BT, UK Institute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London NW1 4RY, UK School of Biological and Chemical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London E1 4NS, UK s.price@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6983-6250
Trenton W J GarnerInstitute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London NW1 4RY, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0336-9706
Andrew A CunninghamInstitute of Zoology, Zoological Society of London, London NW1 4RY, UK.
Tom E S LangtonHerpetofauna Consultants International, Triton House, Bramfield, Halesworth, Suffolk IP19 9AE, UK.
Richard A NicholsSchool of Biological and Chemical Sciences, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, London E1 4NS, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4801-9312
Zoological Society of London · GBQueen Mary University of London · GB

Funding

European Research Council 260801
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There have been few reconstructions of wildlife disease emergences, despite their extensive impact on biodiversity and human health. This is in large part attributable to the lack of structured and robust spatio-temporal datasets. We overcame logistical problems of obtaining suitable information by using data from a citizen science project and formulating spatio-temporal models of the spread of a wildlife pathogen (genus Ranavirus, infecting amphibians). We evaluated three main hypotheses for the rapid increase in disease reports in the UK: that outbreaks were being reported more frequently, that climate change had altered the interaction between hosts and a previously widespread pathogen, and that disease was emerging due to spatial spread of a novel pathogen. Our analysis characterized localized spread from nearby ponds, consistent with amphibian dispersal, but also revealed a highly significant trend for elevated rates of additional outbreaks in localities with higher human population density-pointing to human activities in also spreading the virus. Phylogenetic analyses of pathogen genomes support the inference of at least two independent introductions into the UK. Together these results point strongly to humans repeatedly translocating ranaviruses into the UK from other countries and between UK ponds, and therefore suggest potential control measures.

Indexed as

anthropogenic driverscitizen sciencepathogen pollutionranavirusspatio-temporal modelswildlife disease

Identifiers

PMID27683363
PMCPMC5046891
OpenAlexW2527667660

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.