SynthesisJAMA2016

Association Between Lowering LDL-C and Cardiovascular Risk Reduction Among Different Therapeutic Interventions: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

Michael G Silverman, Brian A Ference, Kyungah Im, Stephen D Wiviott, Robert P Giugliano, Scott M Grundy, Eugene Braunwald, Marc S Sabatine

4 registry-linked trialsOpen access · bronzeAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in JAMA, 2016. The graph read 8 numbers from its abstract, feeding 3 cells of the map, but none could be read as for or against, so it casts no vote. It also reports 7 associations that do not count as treatment evidence, such as difference -0.94 (-0.99 to -0.89) for major vascular events. It is linked to 4 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 643 papers, 16 of them syntheses that pooled it.

8numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
643citing papers in PubMed, 16 pooled it
110.8field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

Read, but not usablea number the graph found but could not read as for or against

Major vascular eventsniacin vs expected RR based on degree of LDL-C reduction, in niacinan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
reduction -0.94-0.99 to -0.89P = .24
For other interventions, the observed RRs vs the expected RRs based on the degree of LDL-C reduction in the trials were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.89-0.99) vs 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92) for niacin (P = .24); 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.92) vs 0.94 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94) for fibrates (P = .02), which was lower than expected (ie, greater risk reduction); 1.01 (95% CI, 0.94-1.09) vs 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.91) for cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors (P = .002), which was higher than expected (ie, less risk reduction); and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.34-0.71) vs 0.61 (95% CI, 0.58-0.65) for proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors (P = .25).
Lipidsproprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors vs expected RR based on degree of LDL-C reduction, in proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitorsan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 0.490.34 to 0.710.25
For other interventions, the observed RRs vs the expected RRs based on the degree of LDL-C reduction in the trials were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.89-0.99) vs 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92) for niacin (P = .24); 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.92) vs 0.94 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94) for fibrates (P = .02), which was lower than expected (ie, greater risk reduction); 1.01 (95% CI, 0.94-1.09) vs 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.91) for cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors (P = .002), which was higher than expected (ie, less risk reduction); and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.34-0.71) vs 0.61 (95% CI, 0.58-0.65) for proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors (P = .25).
Major vascular eventscholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors vs expected RR based on degree of LDL-C reduction, in cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitorsan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 1.010.94 to 1.090.002
For other interventions, the observed RRs vs the expected RRs based on the degree of LDL-C reduction in the trials were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.89-0.99) vs 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92) for niacin (P = .24); 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.92) vs 0.94 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94) for fibrates (P = .02), which was lower than expected (ie, greater risk reduction); 1.01 (95% CI, 0.94-1.09) vs 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.91) for cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors (P = .002), which was higher than expected (ie, less risk reduction); and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.34-0.71) vs 0.61 (95% CI, 0.58-0.65) for proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors (P = .25).

The authors add: which was higher than expected (ie, less risk reduction)

Major vascular eventsfibrates vs expected RR based on degree of LDL-C reduction, in fibratesan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 0.880.83 to 0.920.02
For other interventions, the observed RRs vs the expected RRs based on the degree of LDL-C reduction in the trials were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.89-0.99) vs 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92) for niacin (P = .24); 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.92) vs 0.94 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94) for fibrates (P = .02), which was lower than expected (ie, greater risk reduction); 1.01 (95% CI, 0.94-1.09) vs 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.91) for cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors (P = .002), which was higher than expected (ie, less risk reduction); and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.34-0.71) vs 0.61 (95% CI, 0.58-0.65) for proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors (P = .25).

The authors add: which was lower than expected (ie, greater risk reduction)

Major vascular eventsexpected RR based on degree of LDL-C reduction vs cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors, in cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitorsan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 0.900.89 to 0.91
For other interventions, the observed RRs vs the expected RRs based on the degree of LDL-C reduction in the trials were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.89-0.99) vs 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92) for niacin (P = .24); 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.92) vs 0.94 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94) for fibrates (P = .02), which was lower than expected (ie, greater risk reduction); 1.01 (95% CI, 0.94-1.09) vs 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.91) for cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors (P = .002), which was higher than expected (ie, less risk reduction); and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.34-0.71) vs 0.61 (95% CI, 0.58-0.65) for proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors (P = .25).
Major vascular eventsstatins vs per 1-mmol/L reduction in LDL-C level, in statinsan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
reduction -0.77-0.84 to -0.71P < .001
The RR for major vascular events per 1-mmol/L (38.7-mg/dL) reduction in LDL-C level was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.84; P < .001) for statins and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.66-0.86; P = .002) for established nonstatin interventions that work primarily via upregulation of LDL receptor expression (ie, diet, bile acid sequestrants, ileal bypass, and ezetimibe) (between-group difference, P = .72).
Major vascular eventsestablished nonstatin interventions that work primarily via upregulation of LDL receptor expression (ie, diet, bile acid sequestrants, ileal bypass, and ezetimibe) vs per 1-mmol/L reduction in LDL-C level, in established nonstatin interventions that work primarily via upregulation of LDL receptor expressionan association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds 3 cells of the map
RR 0.750.66 to 0.860.002
The RR for major vascular events per 1-mmol/L (38.7-mg/dL) reduction in LDL-C level was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.84; P < .001) for statins and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.66-0.86; P = .002) for established nonstatin interventions that work primarily via upregulation of LDL receptor expression (ie, diet, bile acid sequestrants, ileal bypass, and ezetimibe) (between-group difference, P = .72).

The authors add: between-group difference, P = .72

Major vascular eventsstatins and established nonstatin interventions that work primarily via upregulation of LDL receptor expression combined vs per 1-mmol/L reduction in LDL-C level, in 5 therapies combined (statins, diet, bile acid sequestrants, ileal bypass, and ezetimibe)an association or prognostic statement, not a treatment comparison · ascvd, dyslipidemiafeeds one cell of the map
RR 0.770.75 to 0.79P < .001
For these 5 therapies combined, the RR was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.75-0.79, P < .001) for major vascular events per 1-mmol/L reduction in LDL-C level.

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

Diet, exercise & lifestyle×lipids

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

2 readable studies in this cell: 1 favour the treatment, 0 find no difference, 1 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.40contested · 1 family supports, 1 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the comparatorfavours the treatment →
1 · no effect

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

Other lipid agents×lipids

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

28 readable studies in this cell: 16 favour the treatment, 3 find no difference, 9 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 15 families support, 6 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
0 · no effect
This paper’s trial, registry resultNCT03337308 · 382 enrolled · 2017
Δ -38.0-46.5 to -29.6
NCT004793881,216 enrolled · 2007
Δ -4.50-7.70 to -1.30
NCT00862251808 enrolled · 2009
Percent change in least-square means -14.8-19.6 to -9.91
NCT00485758796 enrolled · 2007
Δ -17.9-21.4 to -14.4
NCT00730132712 enrolled · 2008
Δ -5.75-9.43 to -2.07
NCT01763827615 enrolled · 2013
Δ -39.3-43.3 to -35.3
NCT01984424511 enrolled · 2013
Δ -37.8-42.3 to -33.3
NCT06005597407 enrolled · 2024
Least Squares (LS) Means -27.9-37.5 to -18.4
NCT02227784366 enrolled · 2014
Δ -6.14-12.2 to -0.22
NCT01763905307 enrolled · 2013
Δ -38.1-43.7 to -33.0
NCT03001076269 enrolled · 2016
Δ -28.4-34.4 to -22.5

Statins×lipids

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

38 readable studies in this cell: 25 favour the treatment, 5 find no difference, 8 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 21 families support, 7 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
0 · no effect
NCT002899002,340 enrolled · 2006
Δ -13.2-16.8 to -9.60
reduced -66.0-73.0 to -58.0
NCT02546323543 enrolled · 2015
Δ -35.5-40.2 to -30.7
NCT01678820299 enrolled · 2012
Δ 0.50-4.80 to 5.80
NCT01218204287 enrolled · 2010
Δ 5.47-15.7 to 26.7
NCT0093525931 enrolled · 2009
Δ -51.7
reductions -33.6-38.8 to -28.4

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03337308 phase3completedstarted 2017, after this paper: background citation

A Randomized, Double-Blind, Parallel Group Study to Evaluate the Efficacy and Safety of Bempedoic Acid 180 Mg + Ezetimibe 10 Mg Fixed-Dose Combination Compared to Bempedoic Acid, Ezetimibe, and Placebo Alone in Patients Treated With Maximally Tolerated Statin Therapy

Ran2017Enrolled382Registered outcomes7Posted comparisons15ConditionsHyperlipidemiasArmsBempedoic acid, Bempedoic Acid + Ezetimibe Fixed-Dose Combination, Ezetimibe, Placebos
Open the trial in the graph
NCT05589636 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2022, after this paper: background citation

A Randomized Controlled Intervention Study to Assess the Effect of Bergamot Juice on LDL Cholesterol Level in Healthy Subjects

TypeinterventionalSponsorAzienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di ParmaRan2022 to 2023Enrolled44ConditionsHealthyArmsBergamot Juice
NCT06526013 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Cholesterol Self-testing in Patients Post Acute Coronary Syndrome

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of LeipzigRan2024 to 2025Enrolled200ConditionsAcute Coronary Syndrome, Prevention, LDL Hyperlipoproteinemia, Therapeutic AdherenceArmsCholesterol self-measurement
NCT07039123 naactive not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Polygenic Risk Score to Optimize Primary Prevention in Intermediate Risk Population (PERSONAL)

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of BernRan2025 to 2027Enrolled205ConditionsPrimary Prevention of Cardiovascular DiseaseArmsPolygenic Risk Score for Coronary Artery Disease (PRS-CAD), Standardized Risk Communication Tool (SCORE2)
5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

643 citing papers in PubMed, 16 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 1,437 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. Trial
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583 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

6 · The record

Corrections and comments

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Michael G SilvermanTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Brian A FerenceDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Wayne State University School of Medicine, Detroit, Michigan.
Kyungah ImTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Stephen D WiviottTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Robert P GiuglianoTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Scott M GrundyCenter for Human Nutrition, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas.
Eugene BraunwaldTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Marc S SabatineTIMI Study Group, Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USThe University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center · USWayne State University · US

Funding

TRAINING PROGRAM IN CARDIOVASCULAR RESEARCHT32HL007604 · NHLBI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI MARK W FEINBERG · 1985 to 2026
$19.0M
NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007604
8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

importanceThe comparative clinical benefit of nonstatin therapies that reduce low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) remains uncertain.

objectiveTo evaluate the association between lowering LDL-C and relative cardiovascular risk reduction across different statin and nonstatin therapies. DATA SOURCES AND STUDY SELECTION: The MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched (1966-July 2016). The key inclusion criteria were that the study was a randomized clinical trial and the reported clinical outcomes included myocardial infarction (MI). Studies were excluded if the duration was less than 6 months or had fewer than 50 clinical events. Studies of 9 different types of LDL-C reduction approaches were included. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two authors independently extracted and entered data into standardized data sheets and data were analyzed using meta-regression. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The relative risk (RR) of major vascular events (a composite of cardiovascular death, acute MI or other acute coronary syndrome, coronary revascularization, or stroke) associated with the absolute reduction in LDL-C level; 5-year rate of major coronary events (coronary death or MI) associated with achieved LDL-C level.

resultsA total of 312 175 participants (mean age, 62 years; 24% women; mean baseline LDL-C level of 3.16 mmol/L [122.3 mg/dL]) from 49 trials with 39 645 major vascular events were included. The RR for major vascular events per 1-mmol/L (38.7-mg/dL) reduction in LDL-C level was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.71-0.84; P < .001) for statins and 0.75 (95% CI, 0.66-0.86; P = .002) for established nonstatin interventions that work primarily via upregulation of LDL receptor expression (ie, diet, bile acid sequestrants, ileal bypass, and ezetimibe) (between-group difference, P = .72). For these 5 therapies combined, the RR was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.75-0.79, P < .001) for major vascular events per 1-mmol/L reduction in LDL-C level. For other interventions, the observed RRs vs the expected RRs based on the degree of LDL-C reduction in the trials were 0.94 (95% CI, 0.89-0.99) vs 0.91 (95% CI, 0.90-0.92) for niacin (P = .24); 0.88 (95% CI, 0.83-0.92) vs 0.94 (95% CI, 0.93-0.94) for fibrates (P = .02), which was lower than expected (ie, greater risk reduction); 1.01 (95% CI, 0.94-1.09) vs 0.90 (95% CI, 0.89-0.91) for cholesteryl ester transfer protein inhibitors (P = .002), which was higher than expected (ie, less risk reduction); and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.34-0.71) vs 0.61 (95% CI, 0.58-0.65) for proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 inhibitors (P = .25). The achieved absolute LDL-C level was significantly associated with the absolute rate of major coronary events (11 301 events, including coronary death or MI) for primary prevention trials (1.5% lower event rate [95% CI, 0.5%-2.6%] per each 1-mmol/L lower LDL-C level; P = .008) and secondary prevention trials (4.6% lower event rate [95% CI, 2.9%-6.4%] per each 1-mmol/L lower LDL-C level; P < .001). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this meta-regression analysis, the use of statin and nonstatin therapies that act via upregulation of LDL receptor expression to reduce LDL-C were associated with similar RRs of major vascular events per change in LDL-C. Lower achieved LDL-C levels were associated with lower rates of major coronary events.

Indexed as

Risk Reduction BehaviorCardiovascular DiseasesCholesterol, LDLFemaleHumansHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsHypolipidemic AgentsMaleMiddle AgedMyocardial InfarctionNiacinReceptors, LDLStrokeUp-RegulationCholesterol, LDLHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsHypolipidemic AgentsNiacinReceptors, LDL

Identifiers

PMID27673306
OpenAlexW2465758073

What OpenQuestion holds

Texttitle and abstract
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.