Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27664885›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of surgical research2016

Age and preexisting conditions as risk factors for severe adverse events and failure to rescue after injury.

Emily Earl-Royal, Elinore J Kaufman, Jesse Y Hsu, Douglas J Wiebe, Patrick M Reilly, Daniel N Holena

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of surgical research, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.6field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 35 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Characteristics and outcomes of geriatric injuries presenting to an urban emergency department in Ghana.African journal of emergency medicine : Revue africaine de la medecine d'urgence · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Enhanced pro-inflammatory response and higher mortality rates in geriatric trauma patients.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2021
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Failure to rescue in surgical patients: A review for acute care surgeons.The journal of trauma and acute care surgery · 2019
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Emily Earl-RoyalDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, California.
Elinore J KaufmanDepartment of Surgery, New York-Presbyterian Hospital Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York, New York.
Jesse Y HsuThe Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Douglas J WiebeThe Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; The Leonard Davis Institute, Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Patrick M ReillyDivision of Traumatology, Surgical Critical Care and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Daniel N HolenaThe Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; The Leonard Davis Institute, Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; Division of Traumatology, Surgical Critical Care and Emergency Surgery, Department of Surgery, Perelman School of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Electronic address: daniel.holena@uphs.upenn.edu.
University of Pennsylvania · USNewYork–Presbyterian Hospital · USStanford University · US

Funding

Enabling Medical Research Growth in Emergency MedicineK12HL109009 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI KIMMEL, STEPHEN E. · 2011 to 2015
$3.4M
Reducing mortality attributable to cardiac and pulmonary complications after traumatic injury: understanding the role of failure-to-rescueK08HL131995 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA · PI HOLENA, DANIEL NORMAN · 2016 to 2018
$509k
NHLBI NIH HHS K08 HL131995NHLBI NIH HHS K12 HL109009
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFailure to rescue (FTR: the conditional probability of death after complication) has been studied in trauma cohorts, but the impact of age and preexisting conditions (PECs) on risk of FTR is not well known. We assessed the relationship between age and PECs on the risk of experiencing serious adverse events (SAEs) subsequent FTR in trauma patients with the hypothesis that increased comorbidity burden and age would be associated with increased FTR. MATERIALS AND

methodsWe performed a retrospective cohort analysis at an urban level 1 trauma center in Pennsylvania. All patients aged ≥16 y with minimum Abbreviated Injury Scale score ≥2 from 2009 to 2013 were included. Univariate logistic regression models for SAE and FTR were developed using age, PECs, demographics, and injury physiology. Variables found to be associated with the end point of interest (P ≤ 0.2) in univariate analysis were included in separate multivariable logistic regression models for each outcome.

resultsSAE occurred in 1136 of 7533 (15.1 %) patients meeting inclusion criteria (median age 42 [interquartile range 26-59], 53% African-American, 72% male, 79% blunt, median ISS 10 [interquartile range 5-17]). Of those who experienced an SAE, 129 of 1136 patients subsequently died (FTR = 11.4%). Development of SAE and FTR was associated with age ≥ 70 y (odds ratio 1.58-1.78, 95% confidence interval 1.13-2.82). Renal disease was the only preexisting condition associated with both SAE and FTR.

conclusionsTrauma patients with renal disease are mostly at increased risk for both SAE and FTR, but other PECs associated with SAE are not necessarily those associated with FTR. Future interventions designed to reduce FTR events should target this high-risk cohort.

Indexed as

Abbreviated Injury ScaleAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsComorbidityFailure to Rescue, Health CareFemaleHospital MortalityHumansLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedPennsylvaniaRegistriesAgedCohort studiesComorbidityFatal outcomePostoperative complicationsWounds and injuries

Identifiers

PMID27664885
PMCPMC5119648
OpenAlexW2470313141

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.