Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27656106›Full record

ArticleGlobal ecology and biogeography : a journal of macroecology2015

Estimating species diversity and distribution in the era of Big Data: to what extent can we trust public databases?

Carla Maldonado, Carlos I Molina, Alexander Zizka, Claes Persson, Charlotte M Taylor, Joaquina Albán, Eder Chilquillo, Nina Rønsted, Alexandre Antonelli

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Global ecology and biogeography : a journal of macroecology, 2015. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 91 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
91citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
38.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

91 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 369 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Review
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  7. RUM/FILH: a standardized operational capability model for biodiversity databases.Database : the journal of biological databases and curation · 2026
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  14. Impact of obscured data on species distribution models.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
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  17. Highlighting the importance of biodiversity conservation through the Holy Qur'an.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
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  18. Article
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31 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Carla MaldonadoNatural History Museum of Denmark University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark; Herbario Nacional de Bolivia Universidad Mayor de San Andres La Paz Bolivia.ORCID 0000-0002-1268-7140
Carlos I MolinaNatural History Museum of Denmark University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark; Instituto de Ecología Universidad Mayor de San Andres La Paz Bolivia.
Alexander ZizkaDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden.
Claes PerssonDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden.
Charlotte M TaylorMissouri Botanical Garden University of Missouri-St. Louis St. Louis MS USA.
Joaquina AlbánMuseo de Historia Natural Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos Lima Peru.
Eder ChilquilloMuseo de Historia Natural Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos Lima Peru; Departamento de Biologia Vegetal Universidade Estadual de Campinas Sao Paulo Brazil.
Nina RønstedNatural History Museum of Denmark University of Copenhagen Copenhagen Denmark.
Alexandre AntonelliDepartment of Biological and Environmental Sciences University of Gothenburg Gothenburg Sweden; Gothenburg Botanical Garden Gothenburg Sweden.
Universidad Mayor de San Andrés · BOUniversity of Gothenburg · SEGöteborgs Stads · SENational University of San Marcos · PEUniversidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) · BRUniversity of Copenhagen · DKUniversity of Missouri–St. Louis · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimMassive digitalization of natural history collections is now leading to a steep accumulation of publicly available species distribution data. However, taxonomic errors and geographical uncertainty of species occurrence records are now acknowledged by the scientific community - putting into question to what extent such data can be used to unveil correct patterns of biodiversity and distribution. We explore this question through quantitative and qualitative analyses of uncleaned versus manually verified datasets of species distribution records across different spatial scales. LOCATION: The American tropics.

methodsAs test case we used the plant tribe Cinchoneae (Rubiaceae). We compiled four datasets of species occurrences: one created manually and verified through classical taxonomic work, and the rest derived from GBIF under different cleaning and filling schemes. We used new bioinformatic tools to code species into grids, ecoregions, and biomes following WWF's classification. We analysed species richness and altitudinal ranges of the species.

resultsAltitudinal ranges for species and genera were correctly inferred even without manual data cleaning and filling. However, erroneous records affected spatial patterns of species richness. They led to an overestimation of species richness in certain areas outside the centres of diversity in the clade. The location of many of these areas comprised the geographical midpoint of countries and political subdivisions, assigned long after the specimens had been collected. MAIN

conclusionOpen databases and integrative bioinformatic tools allow a rapid approximation of large-scale patterns of biodiversity across space and altitudinal ranges. We found that geographic inaccuracy affects diversity patterns more than taxonomic uncertainties, often leading to false positives, i.e. overestimating species richness in relatively species poor regions. Public databases for species distribution are valuable and should be more explored, but under scrutiny and validation by taxonomic experts. We suggest that database managers implement easy ways of community feedback on data quality.

Indexed as

Cinchoneaedata qualityGBIFoccurrence dataRubiaceaeSpeciesGeoCoderspecies richness

Identifiers

PMID27656106
PMCPMC5012125
OpenAlexW2111628353

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.