Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27655817›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2017

Inference for the difference in the area under the ROC curve derived from nested binary regression models.

Glenn Heller, Venkatraman E Seshan, Chaya S Moskowitz, Mithat Gönen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. MTHFR allele and one-carbon metabolic profile predict severity of COVID-19.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Glenn Heller
Venkatraman E Seshan
Chaya S Moskowitz
Mithat Gönen

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Prediction Model: Breast Cancer in Women Irradiated for a Pediatric MalignancyR01CA136783 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI MOSKOWITZ, CHAYA · 2010 to 2013
$1.5M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS R01 CA136783
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The area under the curve (AUC) statistic is a common measure of model performance in a binary regression model. Nested models are used to ascertain whether the AUC statistic increases when new factors enter the model. The regression coefficient estimates used in the AUC statistics are computed using the maximum rank correlation methodology. Typically, inference for the difference in AUC statistics from nested models is derived under asymptotic normality. In this work, it is demonstrated that the asymptotic normality is true only when at least one of the new factors is associated with the binary outcome. When none of the new factors are associated with the binary outcome, the asymptotic distribution for the difference in AUC statistics is a linear combination of chi-square random variables. Further, when at least one new factor is associated with the outcome and the population difference is small, a variance stabilizing reparameterization improves the asymptotic normality of the AUC difference statistic. A confidence interval using this reparameterization is developed and simulations are generated to determine their coverage properties. The derived confidence interval provides information on the magnitude of the added value of new factors and enables investigators to weigh the size of the improvement against potential costs associated with the new factors. A pancreatic cancer data example is used to illustrate this approach.

Indexed as

Area Under CurveComputer SimulationModels, StatisticalRegression AnalysisROC CurveHumansPancreatic NeoplasmsRisk AssessmentArea under the receiver operating characteristic curveConfidence intervalIncremental valueMaximum rank correlationNested modelsRisk classification model

Identifiers

PMID27655817
PMCPMC5965312

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.