Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27641481›Full record

ArticleJournal of infection and public health

Building predictive models for MERS-CoV infections using data mining techniques.

Isra Al-Turaiki, Mona Alshahrani, Tahani Almutairi

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of infection and public health. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 75 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
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  7. Supervised Machine Learning Approach to COVID-19 Detection Based on Clinical Data.Medical journal of the Islamic Republic of Iran · 2022
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  12. Estimation of Diabetes in a High-Risk Adult Chinese Population Using J48 Decision Tree Model.Diabetes, metabolic syndrome and obesity : targets and therapy · 2020
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  17. Network Analysis of MERS Coronavirus within Households, Communities, and Hospitals to Identify Most Centralized and Super-Spreading in the Arabian Peninsula, 2012 to 2016.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Isra Al-TuraikiInformation Technology Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, King Saud University, Saudi Arabia. Electronic address: ialturaiki@ksu.edu.sa.
Mona AlshahraniInformation Technology Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, King Saud University, Saudi Arabia. Electronic address: monaalshahrani@outlook.com.
Tahani AlmutairiInformation Technology Department, College of Computer and Information Sciences, King Saud University, Saudi Arabia. Electronic address: 435203979@student.ksu.edu.sa.
King Saud University · SA

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRecently, the outbreak of MERS-CoV infections caused worldwide attention to Saudi Arabia. The novel virus belongs to the coronaviruses family, which is responsible for causing mild to moderate colds. The control and command center of Saudi Ministry of Health issues a daily report on MERS-CoV infection cases. The infection with MERS-CoV can lead to fatal complications, however little information is known about this novel virus. In this paper, we apply two data mining techniques in order to better understand the stability and the possibility of recovery from MERS-CoV infections.

methodThe Naive Bayes classifier and J48 decision tree algorithm were used to build our models. The dataset used consists of 1082 records of cases reported between 2013 and 2015. In order to build our prediction models, we split the dataset into two groups. The first group combined recovery and death records. A new attribute was created to indicate the record type, such that the dataset can be used to predict the recovery from MERS-CoV. The second group contained the new case records to be used to predict the stability of the infection based on the current status attribute.

resultsThe resulting recovery models indicate that healthcare workers are more likely to survive. This could be due to the vaccinations that healthcare workers are required to get on regular basis. As for the stability models using J48, two attributes were found to be important for predicting stability: symptomatic and age. Old patients are at high risk of developing MERS-CoV complications. Finally, the performance of all the models was evaluated using three measures: accuracy, precision, and recall. In general, the accuracy of the models is between 53.6% and 71.58%.

conclusionWe believe that the performance of the prediction models can be enhanced with the use of more patient data. As future work, we plan to directly contact hospitals in Riyadh in order to collect more information related to patients with MERS-CoV infections.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationAgedAged, 80 and overCoronavirus InfectionsData MiningFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSaudi ArabiaSurvival AnalysisTreatment OutcomeClassificationData miningDecision treeJ48MERS-CoVNaive Bayes

Identifiers

PMID27641481
PMCPMC7102847
OpenAlexW2520961845

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.