Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27633563›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of biometeorology2017

Predicting the Poaceae pollen season: six month-ahead forecasting and identification of relevant features.

Ricardo Navares, José Luis Aznarte

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in International journal of biometeorology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Aerobiology in the International Journal of Biometeorology, 1957-2017.International journal of biometeorology · 2017
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Ricardo NavaresSuperior Technical School of Computer Engineering, UNED, Juan del Rosal, 16, 28040, Madrid, Spain.
José Luis AznarteDepartment of Artificial Intelligence, UNED, Juan del Rosal, 16, 28040, Madrid, Spain. jlaznarte@dia.uned.es.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1636-244X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In this paper, we approach the problem of predicting the concentrations of Poaceae pollen which define the main pollination season in the city of Madrid. A classification-based approach, based on a computational intelligence model (random forests), is applied to forecast the dates in which risk concentration levels are to be observed. Unlike previous works, the proposal extends the range of forecasting horizons up to 6 months ahead. Furthermore, the proposed model allows to determine the most influential factors for each horizon, making no assumptions about the significance of the weather features. The performace of the proposed model proves it as a successful tool for allergy patients in preventing and minimizing the exposure to risky pollen concentrations and for researchers to gain a deeper insight on the factors driving the pollination season.

Indexed as

AllergensModels, TheoreticalPoaceaePollenCitiesForecastingSeasonsSpainWeatherAllergensForecastingPoaceaePollenRandom forestTime series

Identifiers

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.