ArticleScientific reports2016
Application of Species Distribution Modeling for Avian Influenza surveillance in the United States considering the North America Migratory Flyways.
Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.
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Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed.
- Ecology and environment predict spatially stratified risk of H5 highly pathogenic avian influenza clade 2.3.4.4b in wild birds across Europe.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Human Health Surveillance During Animal Disease Emergencies: Minnesota Department of Health Response to Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Outbreaks, 2015 and 2022-2023.Journal of agromedicine · 2025Article
- Legacy parasite collections reveal species-specific population genetic patterns among three species of zoonotic schistosomes.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Comprehensive Insights into Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 in Dairy Cattle: Transmission Dynamics, Milk-Borne Risks, Public Health Implications, Biosecurity Recommendations, and One Health Strategies for Outbreak Control.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Review
- Avian Influenza: Lessons from Past Outbreaks and an Inventory of Data Sources, Mathematical and AI Models, and Early Warning Systems for Forecasting and Hotspot Detection to Tackle Ongoing Outbreaks.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Review
- Using an adaptive modeling framework to identify avian influenza spillover risk at the wild-domestic interface.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Modeling West Nile Virus transmission in birds and humans: Advantages of using a cellular automata approach.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Novel Epidemiologic Features of High Pathogenicity Avian Influenza Virus A H5N1 2.3.3.4b Panzootic: A Review.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2024Review
- Risk factors for avian influenza in Danish poultry and wild birds during the epidemic from June 2020 to May 2021.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2024Article
- Host diversity and behavior determine patterns of interspecies transmission and geographic diffusion of avian influenza A subtypes among North American wild reservoir species.PLoS pathogens · 2022Article
- Article
- Continental-scale dynamics of avian influenza in U.S. waterfowl are driven by demography, migration, and temperature.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2021Article
- A framework for the risk prediction of avian influenza occurrence: An Indonesian case study.PloS one · 2021Article
- Different environmental gradients associated to the spatiotemporal and genetic pattern of the H5N8 highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in poultry in Italy.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2021Article
- The Evolutionary Dynamics of Influenza A Viruses Circulating in Mallards in Duck Hunting Preserves in Maryland, USA.Microorganisms · 2020Article
- Fine-scale tracking of wild waterfowl and their impact on highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks in the Republic of Korea, 2014-2015.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Article
- Global patterns of avian influenza A (H7): virus evolution and zoonotic threats.FEMS microbiology reviews · 2019Review
- BOARD INVITED REVIEW: Prospects for improving management of animal disease introductions using disease-dynamic models.Journal of animal science · 2019Review
- Risk of biodiversity collapse under climate change in the Afro-Arabian region.Scientific reports · 2019Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) has recently (2014-2015) re-emerged in the United States (US) causing the largest outbreak in US history with 232 outbreaks and an estimated economic impact of $950 million. This study proposes to use suitability maps for Low Pathogenic Avian Influenza (LPAI) to identify areas at high risk for HPAI outbreaks. LPAI suitability maps were based on wild bird demographics, LPAI surveillance, and poultry density in combination with environmental, climatic, and socio-economic risk factors. Species distribution modeling was used to produce high-resolution (cell size: 500m x 500m) maps for Avian Influenza (AI) suitability in each of the four North American migratory flyways (NAMF). Results reveal that AI suitability is heterogeneously distributed throughout the US with higher suitability in specific zones of the Midwest and coastal areas. The resultant suitability maps adequately predicted most of the HPAI outbreak areas during the 2014-2015 epidemic in the US (i.e. 89% of HPAI outbreaks were located in areas identified as highly suitable for LPAI). Results are potentially useful for poultry producers and stakeholders in designing risk-based surveillance, outreach and intervention strategies to better prevent and control future HPAI outbreaks in the US.
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