Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27613562›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2016

Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction in the HIV Outpatient Study.

Angela M Thompson-Paul, Kenneth A Lichtenstein, Carl Armon, Frank J Palella, Jacek Skarbinski, Joan S Chmiel, Rachel Hart, Stanley C Wei, Fleetwood Loustalot, John T Brooks and 1 more

Registry-linked trialAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT03687060 (Behavioral Economics and Implementation Research to Reduce Cardiovascular Risk in HIV-Infected Adults), which is not on this map. Cited by 70 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
70citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT03687060 naunknown statusnot on this mapstarted 2019, after this paper: background citation

Behavioral Economics and Implementation Research to Reduce Cardiovascular Risk in HIV-Infected Adults

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of California, Los AngelesRan2019 to 2024Enrolled75ConditionsHIV, Cardiovascular DiseasesArmsKnowledge assessment, Education Intervention, Provider Feedback
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

70 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. Cardiovascular Risk Estimation Is Suboptimal in People With HIV.Journal of the American Heart Association · 2024
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  14. Review
  15. Observational
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10 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Angela M Thompson-PaulDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention.
Kenneth A LichtensteinNational Jewish Health, Denver, Colorado.
Carl ArmonCerner Corporation, Kansas City, Missouri.
Frank J PalellaFeinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Jacek SkarbinskiDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention.
Joan S ChmielFeinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Rachel HartCerner Corporation, Kansas City, Missouri.
Stanley C WeiDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention.
Fleetwood LoustalotDivision of Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
John T BrooksDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention.
Kate BuchaczDivision of HIV/AIDS Prevention.

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCardiovascular disease (CVD) risk prediction tools are often applied to populations beyond those in which they were designed when validated tools for specific subpopulations are unavailable.

methodsUsing data from 2283 human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-infected adults aged ≥18 years, who were active in the HIV Outpatient Study (HOPS), we assessed performance of 3 commonly used CVD prediction models developed for general populations: Framingham general cardiovascular Risk Score (FRS), American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohort equations (PCEs), and Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation (SCORE) high-risk equation, and 1 model developed in HIV-infected persons: the Data Collection on Adverse Effects of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) study equation. C-statistics assessed model discrimination and the ratio of expected to observed events (E/O) and Hosmer-Lemeshow χ

resultsFrom January 2002 through September 2013, 195 (8.5%) HOPS participants experienced an incident CVD event in 15 056 person-years. The FRS demonstrated moderate discrimination and was well calibrated (C-statistic: 0.66, E/O: 1.01, P = .89). The PCE and D:A:D risk equations demonstrated good discrimination but were less well calibrated (C-statistics: 0.71 and 0.72 and E/O: 0.88 and 0.80, respectively; P < .001 for both), whereas SCORE performed poorly (C-statistic: 0.59, E/O: 1.72; P = .48).

conclusionsOnly the FRS accurately estimated risk of CVD events, while PCE and D:A:D underestimated risk. Although these models could potentially be used to rank US HIV-infected individuals at higher or lower risk for CVD, the models may fail to identify substantial numbers of HIV-infected persons with elevated CVD risk who could potentially benefit from additional medical treatment.

Indexed as

AdultAnti-HIV AgentsCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMedical RecordsMiddle AgedOutpatientsRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsAnti-HIV Agentscardiovascular diseaseHIVrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID27613562
PMCPMC5624518

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.