Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27600617›Full record

Observational studyBMC health services research2016

Risk-adjustment models for heart failure patients' 30-day mortality and readmission rates: the incremental value of clinical data abstracted from medical charts beyond hospital discharge record.

Jacopo Lenzi, Vera Maria Avaldi, Tina Hernandez-Boussard, Carlo Descovich, Ilaria Castaldini, Stefano Urbinati, Giuseppe Di Pasquale, Paola Rucci, Maria Pia Fantini

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC health services research, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Jacopo LenziDepartment of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum - University of Bologna, via San Giacomo 12, 40126, Bologna, Italy.
Vera Maria AvaldiDepartment of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum - University of Bologna, via San Giacomo 12, 40126, Bologna, Italy.
Tina Hernandez-BoussardDepartment of Surgery, Stanford University, 300 Pasteur Drive, Stanford, CA, 94305-2200, USA.
Carlo DescovichDepartment of Clinical Governance, Bologna Local Healthcare Authority, via Castiglione 29, 40124, Bologna, Italy.
Ilaria CastaldiniDepartment of Programming and Control, Bologna Local Healthcare Authority, via Castiglione 29, 40124, Bologna, Italy.
Stefano UrbinatiDepartment of Cardiology, Bellaria Hospital, via Altura 3, 40139, Bologna, Italy.
Giuseppe Di PasqualeDepartment of Cardiology, Maggiore Hospital, Largo Nigrisoli 2, 40133, Bologna, Italy.
Paola RucciDepartment of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum - University of Bologna, via San Giacomo 12, 40126, Bologna, Italy.
Maria Pia FantiniDepartment of Biomedical and Neuromotor Sciences, Alma Mater Studiorum - University of Bologna, via San Giacomo 12, 40126, Bologna, Italy. mariapia.fantini@unibo.it.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHospital discharge records (HDRs) are routinely used to assess outcomes of care and to compare hospital performance for heart failure. The advantages of using clinical data from medical charts to improve risk-adjustment models remain controversial. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the additional contribution of clinical variables to HDR-based 30-day mortality and readmission models in patients with heart failure.

methodsThis retrospective observational study included all patients residing in the Local Healthcare Authority of Bologna (about 1 million inhabitants) who were discharged in 2012 from one of three hospitals in the area with a diagnosis of heart failure. For each study outcome, we compared the discrimination of the two risk-adjustment models (i.e., HDR-only model and HDR-clinical model) through the area under the ROC curve (AUC).

resultsA total of 1145 and 1025 patients were included in the mortality and readmission analyses, respectively. Adding clinical data significantly improved the discrimination of the mortality model (AUC = 0.84 vs. 0.73, p < 0.001), but not the discrimination of the readmission model (AUC = 0.65 vs. 0.63, p = 0.08).

conclusionsWe identified clinical variables that significantly improved the discrimination of the HDR-only model for 30-day mortality following heart failure. By contrast, clinical variables made little contribution to the discrimination of the HDR-only model for 30-day readmission.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overData CollectionFemaleHeart FailureHospital RecordsHumansItalyMaleMiddle AgedOutcome Assessment, Health CarePatient DischargePatient ReadmissionRetrospective StudiesHeart failureMortalityReadmissionsRisk-adjustment

Identifiers

PMID27600617
PMCPMC5012069

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.