ArticleMalaria journal2016
Malaria and large dams in sub-Saharan Africa: future impacts in a changing climate.
Article in Malaria journal, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Projected impact of climate change on human health in low- and middle-income countries: a systematic review.BMJ global health · 2024Pooled it
- Epidemiological profile and environmental determinants of Plasmodium falciparum infection in villages surrounding the Soum Agropole, Burkina Faso.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Housing and household characteristics associated with malaria vectors abundance and clinical malaria incidence in a semi-urban and a rural area of Burkina Faso.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Epidemiological Profile and Risk Factors for Malaria in Rural Communities Before the Operationalization of the Singrobo-Ahouaty Dam, Southern Côte d'Ivoire.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Article
- Impact of Global Climate-Change on Ecology ofIranian journal of public health · 2025Review
- Abstruse Side of Climate Change, Impact on Malaria: A Systematic Evidence Review Comparing Iran versus Globally.Iranian journal of public health · 2024Review
- Increased malaria incidence following irrigation practices in the Endorheic Rift Valley Basin of Sidama Region, Ethiopia.PloS one · 2023Article
- Analysis of bluetongue disease epizootics in sheep of Andhra Pradesh, India using spatial and temporal autocorrelation.Veterinary research communications · 2022Article
- Proximity of Residence to Irrigation Determines Malaria Risk and Anopheles Abundance at an Irrigated Agroecosystem in Malawi.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2021Article
- The application of drones for mosquito larval habitat identification in rural environments: a practical approach for malaria control?Malaria journal · 2021Article
- Emerging and Re-emerging Vector-Borne Infectious Diseases and the Challenges for Control: A Review.Frontiers in public health · 2021Review
- Prevalence, characteristics and risk factors of imported and local malaria cases in North-Western Province, Zambia: a cross-sectional study.Malaria journal · 2020Article
- Impact of an Irrigation Dam on the Transmission and Diversity ofJournal of tropical medicine · 2020Article
- Climate and poverty in Africa South of the Sahara.World development · 2020Article
- Malaria around large dams in Africa: effect of environmental and transmission endemicity factors.Malaria journal · 2019Article
- Impact of past and on-going changes on climate and weather on vector-borne diseases transmission: a look at the evidence.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2019Review
- Malaria Transmission around the Memve'ele Hydroelectric Dam in South Cameroon: A Combined Retrospective and Prospective Study, 2000⁻2016.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2019Article
- Environmental Determinants of Malaria Transmission Around the Koka Reservoir in Ethiopia.GeoHealth · 2018Article
- Dynamics of freshwater snails and Schistosoma infection prevalence in schoolchildren during the construction and operation of a multipurpose dam in central Côte d'Ivoire.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2017Article
- Assessing the Risk Factors Associated with Malaria in the Highlands of Ethiopia: What Do We Need to Know?Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2017Article
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5 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundSub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has embarked on a new era of dam building to improve food security and promote economic development. Nonetheless, the future impacts of dams on malaria transmission are poorly understood and seldom investigated in the context of climate and demographic change.
methodsThe distribution of malaria in the vicinity of 1268 existing dams in SSA was mapped under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) representative concentration pathways (RCP) 2.6 and 8.5. Population projections and malaria incidence estimates were used to compute population at risk of malaria in both RCPs. Assuming no change in socio-economic interventions that may mitigate impacts, the change in malaria stability and malaria burden in the vicinity of the dams was calculated for the two RCPs through to the 2080s. Results were compared against the 2010 baseline. The annual number of malaria cases associated with dams and climate change was determined for each of the RCPs.
resultsThe number of dams located in malarious areas is projected to increase in both RCPs. Population growth will add to the risk of transmission. The population at risk of malaria around existing dams and associated reservoirs, is estimated to increase from 15 million in 2010 to 21-23 million in the 2020s, 25-26 million in the 2050s and 28-29 million in the 2080s, depending on RCP. The number of malaria cases associated with dams in malarious areas is expected to increase from 1.1 million in 2010 to 1.2-1.6 million in the 2020s, 2.1-3.0 million in the 2050s and 2.4-3.0 million in the 2080s depending on RCP. The number of cases will always be higher in RCP 8.5 than RCP 2.6.
conclusionIn the absence of changes in other factors that affect transmission (e.g., socio-economic), the impact of dams on malaria in SSA will be significantly exacerbated by climate change and increases in population. Areas without malaria transmission at present, which will transition to regions of unstable transmission, may be worst affected. Modifying conventional water management frameworks to improve malaria control, holds the potential to mitigate some of this increase and should be more actively implemented.
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