Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27587071›Full record

ArticleClinical drug investigation2017

Value of Sustained Virologic Response in Patients with Hepatitis C as a Function of Time to Progression of End-Stage Liver Disease.

Thomas Ward, Jason Gordon, Beverley Jones, Hayley Bennett, Samantha Webster, Anupama Kalsekar, Yong Yuan, Michael Brenner, Phil McEwan

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Clinical drug investigation, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. The Elimination of Hepatitis C as a Public Health Threat.Cold Spring Harbor perspectives in medicine · 2020
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Thomas WardHEOR, Health Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, 9 Oak Tree Court, Mulberry Drive, Cardiff Gate Business Park, CF23 8RS, Cardiff, UK. tom.ward@heor.co.uk.
Jason GordonHEOR, Health Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, 9 Oak Tree Court, Mulberry Drive, Cardiff Gate Business Park, CF23 8RS, Cardiff, UK.
Beverley JonesHEOR, Health Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, 9 Oak Tree Court, Mulberry Drive, Cardiff Gate Business Park, CF23 8RS, Cardiff, UK.
Hayley BennettHEOR, Health Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, 9 Oak Tree Court, Mulberry Drive, Cardiff Gate Business Park, CF23 8RS, Cardiff, UK.
Samantha WebsterHEOR, Health Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, 9 Oak Tree Court, Mulberry Drive, Cardiff Gate Business Park, CF23 8RS, Cardiff, UK.
Anupama KalsekarWorld Wide Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Bristol-Myers Squibb Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Princeton, USA.
Yong YuanWorld Wide Health Economics and Outcomes Research, Bristol-Myers Squibb Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Princeton, USA.
Michael BrennerUK HEOR, Bristol-Myers Squibb Pharmaceuticals Ltd, Uxbridge, UK.
Phil McEwanHEOR, Health Economics and Outcomes Research Ltd, 9 Oak Tree Court, Mulberry Drive, Cardiff Gate Business Park, CF23 8RS, Cardiff, UK.
Health Economics and Outcomes Research (United Kingdom) · GBBristol-Myers Squibb (United States) · USBristol-Myers Squibb (United Kingdom) · GBSwansea University · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTargeted intervention in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) closest to end-stage liver disease (ESLD) progression may offer an approach to treatment prioritisation whilst delivering benefits for patients and the healthcare system. In contrast to previous HCV economic analyses, this study aimed to estimate the health economic value of sustained virologic response (SVR) stratified by the patient's propensity to progress to ESLD.

methodsAn HCV natural history model was adapted to estimate the value of avoiding ESLD complications following SVR, assessed as cost offsets and quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gains, as a function of time to ESLD at treatment initiation. These outcomes were used to estimate the financial value of achieving SVR, defined as the maximum investment that could be allocated without exceeding a willingness-to-pay threshold of £20,000/QALY.

resultsRegardless of time to ESLD onset, achieving SVR was beneficial, resulting in cost offsets and QALY gains, due to avoidance of ESLD complications. The value of achieving SVR was greatest in patients closest to ESLD onset, resulting in increased cost offsets and QALY gains (up to £50,901 and 9.56 QALYs). In patients closest to ESLD onset, the financial value of achieving SVR was £242,051, compared with £127,116 in patients furthest from onset.

conclusionsStandard cost-effectiveness evaluations may underestimate the value of treatment in HCV patients closest to ESLD development. Targeted intervention would promote efficient allocation of limited healthcare resources and reconcile concerns surrounding the affordability of new direct-acting antivirals, by minimising the number-needed-to-treat to maximise health benefit, whilst minimising healthcare expenditure.

Indexed as

Sustained Virologic ResponseAntiviral AgentsCost-Benefit AnalysisDisease ProgressionEnd Stage Liver DiseaseFemaleHepatitis C, ChronicHumansMaleMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsTime FactorsAntiviral Agents

Identifiers

PMID27587071
OpenAlexW2515930955

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.