Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27583895›Full record

Observational studyMedicine2016

A proposed predictive model for advanced fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B and its validation.

Hiroki Nishikawa, Kunihiro Hasegawa, Akio Ishii, Ryo Takata, Hirayuki Enomoto, Kazunori Yoh, Kyohei Kishino, Yoshihiro Shimono, Yoshinori Iwata, Chikage Nakano and 7 more

Abstract readObservational StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Hiroki NishikawaDivision of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Disease, Department of Internal Medicine, Hyogo College of Medicine, Nishinomiya, Hyogo, Japan.
Kunihiro Hasegawa
Akio Ishii
Ryo Takata
Hirayuki Enomoto
Kazunori Yoh
Kyohei Kishino
Yoshihiro Shimono
Yoshinori Iwata
Chikage Nakano
Takashi Nishimura
Nobuhiro Aizawa
Yoshiyuki Sakai
Naoto Ikeda
Tomoyuki Takashima
Hiroko Iijima
Shuhei Nishiguchi

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We created a predictive model using serum-based biomarkers for advanced fibrosis (F3 or more) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and to confirm the accuracy in an independent cohort.A total of 249 CHB patients were analyzed. To achieve our study aim, a training group (n = 125) and a validation group (n = 124) were formed. In the training group, parameters related to the presence of advanced fibrosis in univariate and multivariate analyses were examined, and a formula for advanced fibrosis was created. Next, we verified the applicability of the predictive model in the validation group.Multivariate analysis identified that gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT, P = 0.0343) and platelet count (P = 0.0034) were significant predictors of the presence of advanced fibrosis, while Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2-binding protein (WFA-M2BP, P = 0.0741) and hyaluronic acid (P = 0.0916) tended to be significant factors. Using these 4 parameters, we created the following formula: GMPH score = -0.755 - (0.015 × GGT) - (0.268 × WFA-M2BP) + (0.167 × platelet count) + (0.003 × hyaluronic acid). In 8 analyzed variables (WFA-M2BP, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, FIB-4 index, prothrombin time, platelet count, hyaluronic acid, Forns index, and GMPH score), GMPH score had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for advanced fibrosis with a value of 0.8064 in the training group and in the validation group, GMPH score also had the highest AUROC (0.7782). In all subgroup analyses of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) status (HB surface antigen quantification, HBV-DNA quantification, and HBe antigen seropositivity), GMPH score in F3 or F4 was significantly lower than that in F0 to F2. In the above mentioned 8 variables, differences between the liver fibrosis stages (F0 to F1 vs F2, F2 vs F3, F3 vs F4, F0 to F1 vs F3, F0 to F1 vs F4, and F2 vs F4) for the entire cohort (n = 249) were all significant only in GMPH score.In conclusion, the GMPH scoring system may be helpful for detecting advanced liver fibrosis in patients with CHB.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalAntigens, NeoplasmBiomarkersFemalegamma-GlutamyltransferaseHepatitis B, ChronicHepatitis B e AntigensHepatitis B Surface AntigensHumansHyaluronic AcidLiver CirrhosisMaleMembrane GlycoproteinsMiddle AgedPlant LectinsPlatelet CountAntigens, NeoplasmBiomarkersgamma-GlutamyltransferaseHepatitis B e AntigensHepatitis B Surface AntigensHyaluronic AcidMembrane GlycoproteinsPlant LectinsReceptors, N-AcetylglucosamineTAA90K protein, humanwisteria lectin

Identifiers

PMID27583895
PMCPMC5008579

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.