Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27571901›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infectious diseases2016

Historical Trends in the Hepatitis C Virus Epidemics in North America and Australia.

Chaturaka Rodrigo, Auda A Eltahla, Rowena A Bull, Jason Grebely, Gregory J Dore, Tanya Applegate, Kimberly Page, Julie Bruneau, Meghan D Morris, Andrea L Cox and 13 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infectious diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Correlates of hepatitis C viral clustering among people who inject drugs in Baltimore.Infection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases · 2020
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Genomic characterization of hepatitis C virus transmitted founder variants with deep sequencing.Infection, genetics and evolution : journal of molecular epidemiology and evolutionary genetics in infectious diseases · 2019
    Article
  10. Increasing importance of European lineages in seeding the hepatitis C virus subtype 1a epidemic in Spain.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2019
    Article
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

23 authors.

Chaturaka RodrigoSchool of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine.
Auda A EltahlaSchool of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine.
Rowena A BullSchool of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine.
Jason GrebelyThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Australia, Sydney, New South Wales.
Gregory J DoreThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Australia, Sydney, New South Wales.
Tanya ApplegateThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Australia, Sydney, New South Wales.
Kimberly PageUniversity of New Mexico, Albuquerque.
Julie BruneauCRCHUM, Université de Montréal, Quebec, Canada.
Meghan D MorrisDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco.
Andrea L CoxDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland.
William OsburnDepartment of Medicine, Johns Hopkins Medical Institutions, Baltimore, Maryland.
Arthur Y KimHarvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Janke SchinkelDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Tropical Medicine and AIDS, Center for Infection and Immunity Amsterdam, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef.
Naglaa H ShoukryCRCHUM, Université de Montréal, Quebec, Canada.
Georg M LauerHarvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts.
Lisa MaherThe Kirby Institute, UNSW Australia, Sydney, New South Wales.
Margaret HellardBurnet Institute, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia.
Maria PrinsDepartment of Internal Medicine, Division of Infectious Diseases, Tropical Medicine and AIDS, Center for Infection and Immunity Amsterdam, Academic Medical Center, Meibergdreef.
Chris EstesCenter for Disease Analysis, Louisville, Colorado.
Homie RazaviCenter for Disease Analysis, Louisville, Colorado.
Andrew R LloydSchool of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine.
Fabio LucianiSchool of Medical Sciences, Faculty of Medicine.
International Collaborative of Incident HIV and Hepatitis C in Injecting Cohorts (InC3) Study Group

Funding

Acute Hepatitis C Infection in Young InjectorsR01DA016017 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI PAGE, KIMBERLY · 2002 to 2018
$14.0M
The role of NK cells during acute HCV infection and antiviral therapyU19AI066345 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI KIM, ARTHUR Y · 2005 to 2014
$8.5M
Scientific CoreU19AI088791 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI SHAW, GEORGE M · 2010 to 2020
$8.2M
Treatment of recently acquired hepatitis C virus infectionR01DA015999 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF NEW SOUTH WALES · PI DORE, GREGORY JOHN · 2003 to 2014
$3.7M
International Collaborative of prospective studies of HIV and Hepatitis in IDUR01DA031056 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF NEW MEXICO HEALTH SCIS CTR · PI PAGE, KIMBERLY · 2011 to 2015
$2.2M
Understanding the interpersonal context of HIV/HCV risk within injecting dyadsK01DA037802 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI MORRIS, MEGHAN D · 2014 to 2018
$913k
NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI066345NIAID NIH HHS U19 AI088791NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA037802NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA015999NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA016017NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA031056
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBayesian evolutionary analysis (coalescent analysis) based on genetic sequences has been used to describe the origins and spread of rapidly mutating RNA viruses, such as influenza, Ebola, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), and hepatitis C virus (HCV).

methodsFull-length subtype 1a and 3a sequences from early HCV infections from the International Collaborative of Incident HIV and Hepatitis C in Injecting Cohorts (InC3), as well as from public databases from a time window of 1977-2012, were used in a coalescent analysis with BEAST software to estimate the origin and progression of the HCV epidemics in Australia and North America. Convergent temporal trends were sought via independent epidemiological modeling.

resultsThe epidemic of subtype 3a had more recent origins (around 1950) than subtype 1a (around 1920) in both continents. In both modeling approaches and in both continents, the epidemics underwent exponential growth between 1955 and 1975, which then stabilized in the late 20th century.

conclusionsHistorical events that fuelled the emergence and spread of injecting drug use, such as the advent of intravenous medical therapies and devices, and growth in the heroin trade, as well as population mixing during armed conflicts, were likely drivers for the cross-continental spread of the HCV epidemics.

Indexed as

AustraliaBayes TheoremBiological EvolutionEpidemicsHepacivirusHepatitis CHIV InfectionsHumansNorth AmericaRNA, ViralSubstance Abuse, IntravenousRNA, ViralBEASTcoalescentepidemiologyHCVinjecting drug usePWID

Identifiers

PMID27571901
PMCPMC5079374

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.