ArticleNature microbiology2016
Model-based projections of Zika virus infections in childbearing women in the Americas.
Article in Nature microbiology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 78 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
78 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 162 citations in OpenAlex.
- The worldwide seroprevalence of DENV, CHIKV and ZIKV infection: A systematic review and meta-analysis.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2021Pooled it
- Identification and evaluation of epidemic prediction and forecasting reporting guidelines: A systematic review and a call for action.Epidemics · 2020Pooled it
- A systematic review and evaluation of Zika virus forecasting and prediction research during a public health emergency of international concern.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2019Pooled it
- ZIKA Virus, an Emerging Arbovirus in India: A Glimpse of Global Genetic Lineages.Microorganisms · 2025Review
- Zika virus M protein latches and locks the E protein from transitioning to an immature state after prM cleavage.Npj viruses · 2023Article
- Zika, chikungunya and co-occurrence in Brazil: space-time clusters and associated environmental-socioeconomic factors.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Antibody seropositivity and endemicity of chikungunya and Zika viruses in Nigeria.Animal diseases · 2023Article
- Interactions between seasonal temperature variation and temporal synchrony drive increased arbovirus co-infection incidence.Royal Society open science · 2022Article
- Article
- Adaptively stacking ensembles for influenza forecasting.Statistics in medicine · 2021Article
- Recommended reporting items for epidemic forecasting and prediction research: The EPIFORGE 2020 guidelines.PLoS medicine · 2021Article
- Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease.Nature communications · 2021Article
- Emergency preparedness for public health threats, surveillance, modelling & forecasting.The Indian journal of medical research · 2021Review
- Differential Longevity of Memory CD4 and CD8 T Cells in a Cohort of the Mothers With a History of ZIKV Infection and Their Children.Frontiers in immunology · 2021Article
- In vitro study of Hesperetin and Hesperidin as inhibitors of zika and chikungunya virus proteases.PloS one · 2021Article
- Yellow fever virus outbreak in Brazil under current and future climate.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2021Article
- Estimating unobserved SARS-CoV-2 infections in the United States.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020Article
- Leveraging multiple data types to estimate the size of the Zika epidemic in the Americas.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Estimation of mosquito-borne and sexual transmission of Zika virus in Australia: Risks to blood transfusion safety.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Article
- Climate change implications for the distribution of the babesiosis and anaplasmosis tick vector, Rhipicephalus (Boophilus) microplus.Veterinary research · 2020Article
18 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
- Commented on by
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
5 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Zika virus is a mosquito-borne pathogen that is rapidly spreading across the Americas. Due to associations between Zika virus infection and a range of fetal maladies(1,2), the epidemic trajectory of this viral infection poses a significant concern for the nearly 15 million children born in the Americas each year. Ascertaining the portion of this population that is truly at risk is an important priority. One recent estimate(3) suggested that 5.42 million childbearing women live in areas of the Americas that are suitable for Zika occurrence. To improve on that estimate, which did not take into account the protective effects of herd immunity, we developed a new approach that combines classic results from epidemiological theory with seroprevalence data and highly spatially resolved data about drivers of transmission to make location-specific projections of epidemic attack rates. Our results suggest that 1.65 (1.45-2.06) million childbearing women and 93.4 (81.6-117.1) million people in total could become infected before the first wave of the epidemic concludes. Based on current estimates of rates of adverse fetal outcomes among infected women(2,4,5), these results suggest that tens of thousands of pregnancies could be negatively impacted by the first wave of the epidemic. These projections constitute a revised upper limit of populations at risk in the current Zika epidemic, and our approach offers a new way to make rapid assessments of the threat posed by emerging infectious diseases more generally.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.