Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27553824›Full record

Trial reportPsychopharmacology2016

Unstuck in time: episodic future thinking reduces delay discounting and cigarette smoking.

Jeffrey S Stein, A George Wilson, Mikhail N Koffarnus, Tinuke Oluyomi Daniel, Leonard H Epstein, Warren K Bickel

5 registry-linked trialsOpen access · greenAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Psychopharmacology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to 5 registered trials, which are not on this map. Cited by 143 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
143citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
26.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT05110612 nawithdrawnnot on this mapstarted 2050, after this paper: background citation

Episodic Future Thinking Intervention Targeting Loss Aversion and Cigarette Smoking

TypeinterventionalSponsorUniversity of VermontRan2050 to 2051Enrolled0ConditionsTobacco SmokingArmsEpisodic Future Thinking, Control Episodic Thinking
NCT05963633 naactive not recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

Further Forward: Future Thinking to Improve Parent-Child Relationships

TypeinterventionalSponsorHenry Ford Health SystemRan2023 to 2025Enrolled72ConditionsBehavior, HealthArmsEpisodic Future Thinking (EFT), Episodic Recent Thinking (ERT)
NCT06119503 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2023, after this paper: background citation

Peer Delivered Episodic Future Thinking to Improve MOUD Treatment Engagement Among Returning Citizens - A Randomized Controlled Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorHenry Ford Health SystemRan2023 to 2025Enrolled40ConditionsBehavior, HealthArmsElongating Time HOrizons for Reentry (ETHoR), Standardized Episodic Thinking (SET)
NCT06145919 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Parent-Child Memory Study: Improving Future Thinking Among Mothers From a Traditionally Underserved Community to Reduce Harsh Parenting and Improve Child Outcomes - A Randomized Controlled Trial

TypeinterventionalSponsorHenry Ford Health SystemRan2024 to 2025Enrolled144ConditionsBehavior, HealthArmsEpisodic Future Thinking (EFT), Episodic Recent Thinking (ERT)
NCT06221839 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Structural Racism, Neurocognition in Reward Related Decision Making and Substance Use Risk

TypeobservationalSponsorColumbia UniversityRan2026 to 2027Enrolled72ConditionsStructural Racism, Substance Use Risk
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

143 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 263 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Imagining the future can shape the present: A systematic review of the impact of episodic future thinking on substance use outcomes.Psychology of addictive behaviors : journal of the Society of Psychologists in Addictive Behaviors · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Is episodic future thinking effective in mitigating the influence of time preference in time trade-off?The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2025
    Trial
  8. Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Trial
  12. Trial
  13. Trial
  14. Trial
  15. Trial
  16. Trial
  17. Trial
  18. Internal Validity of Two Promising Methods of Altering Temporal Orientation among Cigarette Smokers.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Trial
  19. Trial
  20. Trial

83 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Jeffrey S SteinAddiction Recovery Research Center, Virginia Tech Carilion Research Institute, 2 Riverside Circle, Roanoke, VA, 24016, USA.
A George WilsonUniversity of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
Mikhail N KoffarnusAddiction Recovery Research Center, Virginia Tech Carilion Research Institute, 2 Riverside Circle, Roanoke, VA, 24016, USA.
Tinuke Oluyomi DanielUniversity at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA.
Leonard H EpsteinUniversity at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY, USA.
Warren K BickelAddiction Recovery Research Center, Virginia Tech Carilion Research Institute, 2 Riverside Circle, Roanoke, VA, 24016, USA. wkbickel@vtc.vt.edu.
Carilion Clinic · USUniversity at Buffalo, State University of New York · USUniversity of Kentucky · USVirginia Tech · US

Funding

Self-Control Improvement Intervention (SCII): Improving Abstinence in SmokersR01DA034755 · NIDA · VIRGINIA POLYTECHNIC INST AND ST UNIV · PI BICKEL, WARREN K · 2013 to 2017
$3.6M
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA034755
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

rationaleDelay discounting, or the devaluation of delayed outcomes, appears to play an etiological role in tobacco and other substance-use disorders.

objectivesNo human studies to our knowledge have been designed to examine whether experimental reductions in delay discounting produce concomitant reduction in drug use.

methodsUsing methods from prior studies on delay discounting and obesity, we examined the effects of episodic future thinking (EFT; a form of mental prospection) on delay discounting and cigarette self-administration in smokers.

resultsConsistent with prior data, EFT significantly reduced both delay discounting (Cohen's d effect size = 0.65) and the number of cigarette puffs earned in a cigarette self-administration task (d = 0.58).

conclusionsThe effects of EFT on delay discounting generalize to smokers; EFT also reduces laboratory-based cigarette self-administration. Potential mechanisms of EFT's effects are discussed as well as implications of EFT for clinical treatment of substance-use disorders.

Indexed as

Delay DiscountingForecastingThinkingAdultChoice BehaviorFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedSelf AdministrationSmokingSurveys and QuestionnairesTime FactorsCigarettesDelay discountingEpisodic future thinkingProspectionSmoking

Identifiers

PMID27553824
PMCPMC9812225
OpenAlexW2508490351

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.