Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27549873›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of public health2016

Hip fracture incidence 2003-2013 and projected cases until 2050 in Austria: a population-based study.

Hans Concin, Wolfgang Brozek, Karl-Peter Benedetto, Hartmut Häfele, Joachim Kopf, Thomas Bärenzung, Richard Schnetzer, Christian Schenk, Elmar Stimpfl, Ursula Waheed-Hutter and 4 more

Abstract read
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Article in International journal of public health, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Global burden of hip fracture: The Global Burden of Disease Study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Gamma-glutamyl-transferase is associated with incident hip fractures in women and men ≥ 50 years: a large population-based cohort study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2022
    Article
  7. Elevated blood pressure, antihypertensive medications and bone health in the population: revisiting old hypotheses and exploring future research directions.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2022
    Article
  8. Observational
  9. Article
  10. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Hans ConcinAgency for Preventive and Social Medicine, Bregenz, Austria.
Wolfgang BrozekLudwig Boltzmann Institute of Osteology at the Hanusch Hospital of the Vienna Health Insurance Fund (WGKK) and Trauma Center Meidling of the Austrian Workers' Compensation Board (AUVA), 1st Medical Department, Hanusch Hospital, Vienna, Austria. wolfgang.brozek@osteologie.at.
Karl-Peter BenedettoDepartment of Trauma Surgery, Landeskrankenhaus Feldkirch, Feldkirch, Austria.
Hartmut HäfeleDepartment of Trauma Surgery, Landeskrankenhaus Bregenz, Bregenz, Austria.
Joachim KopfDepartment of Trauma Surgery, Landeskrankenhaus Bregenz, Bregenz, Austria.
Thomas BärenzungDepartment of Trauma Surgery, Landeskrankenhaus Bludenz, Bludenz, Austria.
Richard SchnetzerDepartment of Trauma Surgery, Krankenhaus Dornbirn, Dornbirn, Austria.
Christian SchenkSanatorium Schruns, Schruns, Austria.
Elmar StimpflAgency for Preventive and Social Medicine, Bregenz, Austria.
Ursula Waheed-HutterAgency for Preventive and Social Medicine, Bregenz, Austria.
Hanno UlmerDepartment of Medical Statistics, Informatics and Health Economics, Innsbruck Medical University, Innsbruck, Austria.
Kilian RappDepartment of Clinical Gerontology, Robert-Bosch-Hospital, Stuttgart, Germany.
Elisabeth ZwettlerLudwig Boltzmann Institute of Osteology at the Hanusch Hospital of the Vienna Health Insurance Fund (WGKK) and Trauma Center Meidling of the Austrian Workers' Compensation Board (AUVA), 1st Medical Department, Hanusch Hospital, Vienna, Austria.
Gabriele NagelAgency for Preventive and Social Medicine, Bregenz, Austria.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesElevated hip fracture incidence is a major public health problem looming to aggravate in industrialized countries due to demographic developments. We report hip fracture incidence and expected future cases from Vorarlberg, the westernmost province of Austria, results potentially representative of Central European populations.

methodsCrude and standardized hip fracture incidence rates in Vorarlberg 2003-2013 are reported. Based on the age-specific incidence in 2013 or trends 2003-2013, we predict hip fractures till 2050.

resultsFemale age-standardized hip fracture incidence decreased 2005-2013, whereas for men, the trend was rather unclear. Uncorrected forecasts indicate that by 2050, female and male cases will each have more than doubled from 2015 in all demographic core scenarios. Corrected by incidence trends before 2013, cases are expected to drop among women but rise among men.

conclusionsWe anticipate rising hip fracture numbers in Vorarlberg within the next decades, unless prevention programs that presumably account for decreasing incidence rates, particularly among women since 2005, take further effect to counteract the predicted steady increase due to demographic changes. Concomitantly, augmented endeavors to target the male population by these programs are needed.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge DistributionAustriaFemaleHip FracturesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedSex DistributionAustriaHip fracture incidenceOsteoporosisPrognosisVorarlberg

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.