Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27549755›Full record

ArticleBMC emergency medicine2016

Prospective evaluation of an automated method to identify patients with severe sepsis or septic shock in the emergency department.

Samuel M Brown, Jason Jones, Kathryn Gibb Kuttler, Roger K Keddington, Todd L Allen, Peter Haug

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC emergency medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Diagnostic performance of machine-learning algorithms for sepsis prediction: An updated meta-analysis.Technology and health care : official journal of the European Society for Engineering and Medicine · 2024
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  18. Implementation frameworks for end-to-end clinical AI: derivation of the SALIENT framework.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2023
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Samuel M BrownPulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, USA. samuel.brown@imail.org.
Jason JonesClinical Intelligence and Decision Support, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, USA.
Kathryn Gibb KuttlerPulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Intermountain Medical Center, Murray, USA.
Roger K KeddingtonIntensive Medicine Clinical Program, Intermountain Healthcare, Salt Lake City, USA.
Todd L AllenInstitute for Healthcare Delivery Research, Intermountain Healthcare, Salt Lake City, USA.
Peter HaugHomer Warner Center for Informatics Research, Intermountain Healthcare, Murray, USA.

Funding

Cardiovascular Variability and Control in Early SepsisK23GM094465 · NIGMS · IHC HEALTH SERVICES, INC. · PI BROWN, SAMUEL MORRIS · 2010 to 2014
$637k
NIGMS NIH HHS K23 GM094465
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSepsis is an often-fatal syndrome resulting from severe infection. Rapid identification and treatment are critical for septic patients. We therefore developed a probabilistic model to identify septic patients in the emergency department (ED). We aimed to produce a model that identifies 80 % of sepsis patients, with no more than 15 false positive alerts per day, within one hour of ED admission, using routine clinical data.

methodsWe developed the model using retrospective data for 132,748 ED encounters (549 septic), with manual chart review to confirm cases of severe sepsis or septic shock from January 2006 through December 2008. A naïve Bayes model was used to select model features, starting with clinician-proposed candidate variables, which were then used to calculate the probability of sepsis. We evaluated the accuracy of the resulting model in 93,733 ED encounters from April 2009 through June 2010.

resultsThe final model included mean blood pressure, temperature, age, heart rate, and white blood cell count. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the continuous predictor model was 0.953. The binary alert achieved 76.4 % sensitivity with a false positive rate of 4.7 %.

conclusionsWe developed and validated a probabilistic model to identify sepsis early in an ED encounter. Despite changes in process, organizational focus, and the H1N1 influenza pandemic, our model performed adequately in our validation cohort, suggesting that it will be generalizable.

Indexed as

AdultAge FactorsBayes TheoremBlood PressureBody TemperatureEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHeart RateHumansLeukocyte CountMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesROC CurveSensitivity and SpecificitySepsisAutomated detectionBayesian classifierSepsis

Identifiers

PMID27549755
PMCPMC4994262

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.