Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27540724›Full record

ArticlePLoS neglected tropical diseases2016

Dengue Sentinel Traveler Surveillance: Monthly and Yearly Notification Trends among Japanese Travelers, 2006-2014.

Munehisa Fukusumi, Takeshi Arashiro, Yuzo Arima, Tamano Matsui, Tomoe Shimada, Hitomi Kinoshita, Ashley Arashiro, Tomohiko Takasaki, Tomimasa Sunagawa, Kazunori Oishi

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 44 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. A Review:Vaccines · 2021
    Review
  13. The Epidemic Risk of Dengue Fever in Japan: Climate Change and Seasonality.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2021
    Article
  14. Effects of El Niño/La Niña on the Number of Imported Shigellosis Cases in the Republic of Korea, 2004-2017.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Assessing dengue control in Tokyo, 2014.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2019
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Munehisa FukusumiInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Takeshi ArashiroInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Yuzo ArimaInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Tamano MatsuiInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Tomoe ShimadaInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Hitomi KinoshitaInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Ashley ArashiroInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Tomohiko TakasakiDepartment of Virology 1st, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Tomimasa SunagawaInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
Kazunori OishiInfectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Tokyo, Japan.
National Institute of Infectious Diseases · JPKanagawa Prefectural Institute of Public Health · JPOsaka University · JP

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDengue is becoming an increasing threat to non-endemic countries. In Japan, the reported number of imported cases has been rising, and the first domestic dengue outbreak in nearly 70 years was confirmed in 2014, highlighting the need for greater situational awareness and better-informed risk assessment.

methodsUsing national disease surveillance data and publically available traveler statistics, we compared monthly and yearly trends in the destination country-specific dengue notification rate per 100,000 Japanese travelers with those of domestic dengue cases in the respective country visited during 2006-2014. Comparisons were made for countries accounting for the majority of importations; yearly comparisons were restricted to countries where respective national surveillance data were publicly available.

resultsThere were 1007 imported Japanese dengue cases (Bali, Indonesia (n = 202), the Philippines (n = 230), Thailand (n = 160), and India (n = 152)). Consistent with historic local dengue seasonality, monthly notification rate among travelers peaked in August in Thailand, September in the Philippines, and in Bali during April with a smaller peak in August. While the number of travelers to Bali was greatest in August, the notification rate was highest in April. Annually, trends in the notification rate among travelers to the Philippines and Thailand also closely reflected local notification trends.

conclusionTravelers to dengue-endemic countries appear to serve as reliable "sentinels", with the trends in estimated risk of dengue infection among Japanese travelers closely reflecting local dengue trends, both seasonally and annually. Sentinel traveler surveillance can contribute to evidence-based pretravel advice, and help inform risk assessments and decision-making for importation and potentially for subsequent secondary transmission. As our approach takes advantage of traveler data that are readily available as a proxy denominator, sentinel traveler surveillance can be a practical surveillance tool that other countries could consider for implementation.

Indexed as

Disease NotificationSentinel SurveillanceTravelDengueDengue VirusDisease OutbreaksHumansIndiaIndonesiaJapanPhilippinesRisk AssessmentThailand

Identifiers

PMID27540724
PMCPMC4991785
OpenAlexW2517758847

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.