Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27514936›Full record

ArticleJournal of epidemiology and community health2017

Testing the impact of local alcohol licencing policies on reported crime rates in England.

F De Vocht, J Heron, R Campbell, M Egan, J D Mooney, C Angus, A Brennan, M Hickman

Abstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of epidemiology and community health, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

F De VochtNIHR School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Bristol, UK.
J HeronNIHR School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Bristol, UK.
R CampbellNIHR School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Bristol, UK.
M EganNIHR School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Bristol, UK.
J D MooneyHealth Sciences and Well-being Research Group, University of Sunderland, Sunderland, UK.
C AngusNIHR School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Bristol, UK.
A BrennanNIHR School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Bristol, UK.
M HickmanNIHR School for Public Health Research (SPHR), Bristol, UK.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/K006525/1Medical Research Council MR/K023233/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundExcessive alcohol use contributes to public nuisance, antisocial behaviour, and domestic, interpersonal and sexual violence. We test whether licencing policies aimed at restricting its spatial and/or temporal availability, including cumulative impact zones, are associated with reductions in alcohol-related crime.

methodsReported crimes at English lower tier local authority (LTLA) level were used to calculate the rates of reported crimes including alcohol-attributable rates of sexual offences and violence against a person, and public order offences. Financial fraud was included as a control crime not directly associated with alcohol abuse. Each area was classified as to its cumulative licensing policy intensity for 2009-2015 and categorised as 'passive', low, medium or high. Crime rates adjusted for area deprivation, outlet density, alcohol-related hospital admissions and population size at baseline were analysed using hierarchical (log-rate) growth modelling.

results284 of 326 LTLAs could be linked and had complete data. From 2009 to 2013 alcohol-related violent and sexual crimes and public order offences rates declined faster in areas with more 'intense' policies (about 1.2, 0.10 and 1.7 per 1000 people compared with 0.6, 0.01 and 1.0 per 1000 people in 'passive' areas, respectively). Post-2013, the recorded rates increased again. No trends were observed for financial fraud.

conclusionsLocal areas in England with more intense alcohol licensing policies had a stronger decline in rates of violent crimes, sexual crimes and public order offences in the period up to 2013 of the order of 4-6% greater compared with areas where these policies were not in place, but not thereafter.

Indexed as

Alcoholic BeveragesCrimeEnglandFemaleHumansLicensureMaleRisk FactorsALCOHOLLONGITUDINAL STUDIESPUBLIC HEALTHPUBLIC HEALTH POLICY

Identifiers

PMID27514936
PMCPMC5284476

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.