Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27510947›Full record

Trial reportJournal of medical screening2017

Design-corrected variation by centre in mortality reduction in the ERSPC randomised prostate cancer screening trial.

Matti Hakama, Sue M Moss, Ulf-Hakan Stenman, Monique J Roobol, Marco Zappa, Sigrid Carlsson, Marco Randazzo, Vera Nelen, Jonas Hugosson

Open access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Journal of medical screening, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Multi-marker risk-based screening for prostate cancer.Journal of medical screening · 2022
    Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 7 institutions in 8 countries.

Matti Hakama1 Finnish Cancer Registry, Helsinki, Finland.
Sue M Moss2 Centre for Cancer Prevention, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Ulf-Hakan Stenman3 Department of Clinical Chemistry, Helsinki University and HUSLAB, Helsinki, Finland.
Monique J Roobol4 Department of Urology Erasmus University Medical Center, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Marco Zappa5 Unit of Clinical and Descriptive Epidemiology, ISPO, Florence, Italy.
Sigrid Carlsson6 Department of Urology, Sahlgrenska Academy at Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Marco Randazzo8 Department of Urology, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland.
Vera Nelen10 Provincial Instituut voor Hygiene, Antwerp, Belgium.
Jonas Hugosson6 Department of Urology, Sahlgrenska Academy at Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden.
University of Gothenburg · SEErasmus MC · NLFinnish Cancer Registry · FIIstituto per lo Studio e la Prevenzione Oncologica · ITKantonsspital Aarau · CHProvincial Institute for Hygiene · BEQueen Mary University of London · GB

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives To calculate design-corrected estimates of the effect of screening on prostate cancer mortality by centre in the European Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC). Setting The ERSPC has shown a 21% reduction in prostate cancer mortality in men invited to screening with follow-up truncated at 13 years. Centres either used pre-consent randomisation (effectiveness design) or post-consent randomisation (efficacy design). Methods In six centres (three effectiveness design, three efficacy design) with follow-up until the end of 2010, or maximum 13 years, the effect of screening was estimated as both effectiveness (mortality reduction in the target population) and efficacy (reduction in those actually screened). Results The overall crude prostate cancer mortality risk ratio in the intervention arm vs control arm for the six centres was 0.79 ranging from a 14% increase to a 38% reduction. The risk ratio was 0.85 in centres with effectiveness design and 0.73 in those with efficacy design. After correcting for design, overall efficacy was 27%, 24% in pre-consent and 29% in post-consent centres, ranging between a 12% increase and a 52% reduction. Conclusion The estimated overall effect of screening in attenders (efficacy) was a 27% reduction in prostate cancer mortality at 13 years' follow-up. The variation in efficacy between centres was greater than the range in risk ratio without correction for design. The centre-specific variation in the mortality reduction could not be accounted for by the randomisation method.

Indexed as

Prostate-Specific AntigenAgedAlgorithmsEarly Detection of CancerEthnicityEuropeFollow-Up StudiesFranceHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedOdds RatioProstatic NeoplasmsResearch DesignProstate-Specific AntigenProstate cancerprostate specific antigenscreeningstudy design

Identifiers

PMID27510947
PMCPMC5299065
OpenAlexW2501601011

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.