Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27503405›Full record

ArticleJournal of diabetes and its complications2017

Ten-year hemoglobin A1c trajectories and outcomes in type 2 diabetes mellitus: The Diabetes & Aging Study.

Neda Laiteerapong, Andrew J Karter, Howard H Moffet, Jennifer M Cooper, Robert D Gibbons, Jennifer Y Liu, Yue Gao, Elbert S Huang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of diabetes and its complications, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 52 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
52citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

52 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Longitudinal trends in HbADiabetes/metabolism research and reviews · 2018
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Humor Training and Diabetes: An Adjunct to Treatment.American journal of lifestyle medicine · 2026
    Article
  6. Negative descriptors in electronic health records of patients with diabetes.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2025
    Article
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  8. Observational
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  11. Review
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  19. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Neda LaiteerapongSection of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, 5841 S Maryland Avenue, MC 2007, Chicago, IL 60637, USA. Electronic address: nlaiteer@medicine.bsd.uchicago.edu.
Andrew J KarterDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, 2000 Broadway, Oakland, CA 94612, USA.
Howard H MoffetDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, 2000 Broadway, Oakland, CA 94612, USA.
Jennifer M CooperSection of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, 5841 S Maryland Avenue, MC 2007, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.
Robert D GibbonsDepartments of Medicine and Public Health Sciences, University of Chicago, 5841 S Maryland Avenue, MC 2000, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.
Jennifer Y LiuDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente, 2000 Broadway, Oakland, CA 94612, USA.
Yue GaoSection of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, 5841 S Maryland Avenue, MC 2007, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.
Elbert S HuangSection of General Internal Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, 5841 S Maryland Avenue, MC 2007, Chicago, IL 60637, USA.

Funding

Research Design, Data, and Analytics CoreP30DK092949 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Ronald T. Ackermann, MARSHALL H CHIN · 2011 to 2026
$10.0M
Translational Research Core - Health Engagement & Action Translational (HEAT)P30DK092924 · NIDDK · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI Alyce Sophia Adams, HILARY Kessler SELIGMAN · 2011 to 2026
$9.2M
Diabetes and Aging in a Multi-Ethnic PopulationR01DK081796 · NIDDK · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI HUANG, ELBERT S., KARTER, ANDREW JOHN · 2009 to 2013
$2.9M
Research and Mentorship in Medical Decision Making in DiabetesK24DK105340 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI HUANG, ELBERT S. · 2015 to 2019
$884k
Linking the Legacy Effect in Type 2 Diabetes to Clinical Decision MakingK23DK097283 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI LAITEERAPONG, NEDA · 2012 to 2016
$880k
NIDDK NIH HHS K23 DK097283NIDDK NIH HHS K24 DK105340NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK092924NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK092949NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK081796
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsTo classify trajectories of long term HbA1c values in patients after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes and examine each trajectory's associations with subsequent microvascular and macrovascular events and mortality.

methodsA longitudinal follow-up of 28,016 patients newly diagnosed with type 2 diabetes was conducted. Latent growth mixture modeling was used to identify ten-year HbA1c trajectories. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess how HbA1c trajectories were associated with events (microvascular and macrovascular) and mortality.

resultsWe identified 5 HbA1c trajectories: "low stable" (82.5%), "moderate increasing late" (5.1%), "high decreasing early" (4.9%), "moderate peaking late" (4.1%) and "moderate peaking early" (3.3%). After adjusting for average HbA1c, compared to the low stable trajectory, all non-stable trajectories were associated with higher incidences of microvascular events (hazard ratio (HR) range, 1.28 (95% CI, 1.08-1.53) (high decreasing early) to 1.45 (95% CI, 1.20-1.75) (moderate peaking early)). The high decreasing early trajectory was associated with an increased mortality risk (HR, 1.27 (95% CI, 1.03-1.58)). Trajectories were not associated with macrovascular events.

conclusionsNon-stable HbA1c trajectories were associated with greater risk of microvascular events and mortality. These findings suggest a potential benefit of early diabetes detection, prioritizing good glycemic control, and maintaining control over time.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAged, 80 and overAgingDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Disease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGlycated HemoglobinHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisGlycated HemoglobinEpidemiologyGlycemic controlLegacy effectMicrovascular diseaseMortality

Identifiers

PMID27503405
PMCPMC5209280

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.