Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27490264›Full record

ReviewPLoS neglected tropical diseases2016

Transmission Dynamics of Visceral Leishmaniasis in the Indian Subcontinent - A Systematic Literature Review.

Siddhivinayak Hirve, Marleen Boelaert, Greg Matlashewski, Dinesh Mondal, Byron Arana, Axel Kroeger, Piero Olliaro

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 48 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
48citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

48 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  7. Review
  8. Validating Immunomodulatory Responses of r-Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  9. Molecular Characterization ofPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Siddhivinayak HirveGlobal Influenza Programme, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9651-7789
Marleen BoelaertEpidemiology and Control of Tropical Diseases, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium.
Greg MatlashewskiDepartment of Microbiology and Immunology, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.
Dinesh MondalNutrition and Clinical Services Division, International Center for Diarrheal Disease Research, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Byron AranaDrugs for Neglected Diseases Initiative, Geneva, Switzerland.
Axel KroegerSpecial Programme on Research and Training in Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Piero OlliaroSpecial Programme on Research and Training in Tropical Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAs Bangladesh, India and Nepal progress towards visceral leishmaniasis (VL) elimination, it is important to understand the role of asymptomatic Leishmania infection (ALI), VL treatment relapse and post kala-azar dermal leishmaniasis (PKDL) in transmission. METHODOLOGY/ PRINCIPAL FINDING: We reviewed evidence systematically on ALI, relapse and PKDL. We searched multiple databases to include studies on burden, risk factors, biomarkers, natural history, and infectiveness of ALI, PKDL and relapse. After screening 292 papers, 98 were included covering the years 1942 through 2016. ALI, PKDL and relapse studies lacked a reference standard and appropriate biomarker. The prevalence of ALI was 4-17-fold that of VL. The risk of ALI was higher in VL case contacts. Most infections remained asymptomatic or resolved spontaneously. The proportion of ALI that progressed to VL disease within a year was 1.5-23%, and was higher amongst those with high antibody titres. The natural history of PKDL showed variability; 3.8-28.6% had no past history of VL treatment. The infectiveness of PKDL was 32-53%. The risk of VL relapse was higher with HIV co-infection. Modelling studies predicted a range of scenarios. One model predicted VL elimination was unlikely in the long term with early diagnosis. Another model estimated that ALI contributed to 82% of the overall transmission, VL to 10% and PKDL to 8%. Another model predicted that VL cases were the main driver for transmission. Different models predicted VL elimination if the sandfly density was reduced by 67% by killing the sandfly or by 79% by reducing their breeding sites, or with 4-6y of optimal IRS or 10y of sub-optimal IRS and only in low endemic setting. CONCLUSION/ SIGNIFICANCE: There is a need for xenodiagnostic and longitudinal studies to understand the potential of ALI and PKDL as reservoirs of infection.

Indexed as

AnimalsAsymptomatic InfectionsBangladeshCoinfectionHumansIndiaLeishmania donovaniLeishmaniasis, VisceralNepalPsychodidaeRecurrenceRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID27490264
PMCPMC4973965

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.