Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27489997›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2016

Quantitative assessment of a spatial multicriteria model for highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 in Thailand, and application in Cambodia.

Mathilde C Paul, Flavie L Goutard, Floriane Roulleau, Davun Holl, Weerapong Thanapongtharm, François L Roger, Annelise Tran

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. GIS-based COVID-19 vulnerability mapping in the West Bank, Palestine.International journal of disaster risk reduction : IJDRR · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mathilde C PaulCIRAD, UPR AGIRs, F-34398, Montpellier, France.
Flavie L GoutardCIRAD, UPR AGIRs, F-34398, Montpellier, France.
Floriane RoulleauCIRAD, UPR AGIRs, F-34398, Montpellier, France.
Davun HollNational Veterinary Research Institute, Phnom Penh, Cambodia.
Weerapong ThanapongtharmDepartment of Livestock Development, Bangkok, Thailand.
François L RogerCIRAD, UPR AGIRs, F-34398, Montpellier, France.
Annelise TranCIRAD, UPR AGIRs, F-34398, Montpellier, France.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza H5N1 (HPAI) virus is now considered endemic in several Asian countries. In Cambodia, the virus has been circulating in the poultry population since 2004, with a dramatic effect on farmers' livelihoods and public health. In Thailand, surveillance and control are still important to prevent any new H5N1 incursion. Risk mapping can contribute effectively to disease surveillance and control systems, but is a very challenging task in the absence of reliable disease data. In this work, we used spatial multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) to produce risk maps for HPAI H5N1 in poultry. We aimed to i) evaluate the performance of the MCDA approach to predict areas suitable for H5N1 based on a dataset from Thailand, comparing the predictive capacities of two sources of a priori knowledge (literature and experts), and ii) apply the best method to produce a risk map for H5N1 in poultry in Cambodia. Our results showed that the expert-based model had a very high predictive capacity in Thailand (AUC = 0.97). Applied in Cambodia, MCDA mapping made it possible to identify hotspots suitable for HPAI H5N1 in the Tonlé Sap watershed, around the cities of Battambang and Kampong Cham, and along the Vietnamese border.

Indexed as

Influenza A Virus, H5N1 SubtypeModels, StatisticalAnimalsCambodiaDecision Support TechniquesDisease OutbreaksEpidemiological MonitoringGeographic MappingHumansInfluenza, HumanInfluenza in BirdsPoultryRisk FactorsThailand

Identifiers

PMID27489997
PMCPMC4977984

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.