Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27489944›Full record

ReviewPLoS neglected tropical diseases2016

Transmission or Within-Host Dynamics Driving Pulses of Zoonotic Viruses in Reservoir-Host Populations.

Raina K Plowright, Alison J Peel, Daniel G Streicker, Amy T Gilbert, Hamish McCallum, James Wood, Michelle L Baker, Olivier Restif

Open access · goldAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 120 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
120citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
14.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

120 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 195 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Prioritizing surveillance of Nipah virus in India.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2019
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article

60 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.

Raina K PlowrightMontana State University, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Bozeman, Montana, United States of America.
Alison J PeelEnvironmental Futures Research Institute, Griffith University, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
Daniel G StreickerInstitute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Amy T GilbertUSDA/APHIS/WS National Wildlife Research Center, Fort Collins, Colorado, United States of America.
Hamish McCallumGriffith School of Environment, Griffith University, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.
James WoodDisease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Michelle L BakerCSIRO Health and Biosecurity Business Unit, Australian Animal Health Laboratory, Geelong, Victoria, Australia.
Olivier RestifDisease Dynamics Unit, Department of Veterinary Medicine, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
Griffith University · AUUniversity of Cambridge · GBAustralian Centre for Disease Preparedness · AUCenter for Disease Dynamics, Economics & Policy · USMRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBNational Wildlife Research Center

Funding

Research Core (Developmental Research Project Program)P20GM103474 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI Jeffrey Good · 2012 to 2026
$60.0M
Pilot Grants ProgramP30GM110732 · NIGMS · MONTANA STATE UNIVERSITY - BOZEMAN · PI QUINN, MARK T · 2014 to 2018
$5.4M
Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/8NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM103474NIGMS NIH HHS P30 GM110732Wellcome Trust 100891
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Progress in combatting zoonoses that emerge from wildlife is often constrained by limited knowledge of the biology of pathogens within reservoir hosts. We focus on the host-pathogen dynamics of four emerging viruses associated with bats: Hendra, Nipah, Ebola, and Marburg viruses. Spillover of bat infections to humans and domestic animals often coincides with pulses of viral excretion within bat populations, but the mechanisms driving such pulses are unclear. Three hypotheses dominate current research on these emerging bat infections. First, pulses of viral excretion could reflect seasonal epidemic cycles driven by natural variations in population densities and contact rates among hosts. If lifelong immunity follows recovery, viruses may disappear locally but persist globally through migration; in either case, new outbreaks occur once births replenish the susceptible pool. Second, epidemic cycles could be the result of waning immunity within bats, allowing local circulation of viruses through oscillating herd immunity. Third, pulses could be generated by episodic shedding from persistently infected bats through a combination of physiological and ecological factors. The three scenarios can yield similar patterns in epidemiological surveys, but strategies to predict or manage spillover risk resulting from each scenario will be different. We outline an agenda for research on viruses emerging from bats that would allow for differentiation among the scenarios and inform development of evidence-based interventions to limit threats to human and animal health. These concepts and methods are applicable to a wide range of pathogens that affect humans, domestic animals, and wildlife.

Indexed as

FiloviridaeHenipavirusAnimalsChiropteraDisease OutbreaksDisease ReservoirsEcologyHumansZoonoses

Identifiers

PMID27489944
PMCPMC4973921
OpenAlexW2467600727

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC0
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.