Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27487912›Full record

Trial reportPediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies2016

A Simple and Robust Bedside Model for Mortality Risk in Pediatric Patients With Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.

Aaron C Spicer, Carolyn S Calfee, Matthew S Zinter, Robinder G Khemani, Victoria P Lo, Mustafa F Alkhouli, Benjamin E Orwoll, Ana L Graciano, Juan P Boriosi, James P Howard and 3 more

Abstract readClinical TrialMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Trial report in Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. CALIPSO: A Randomized Controlled Trial of Calfactant for Acute Lung Injury in Pediatric Stem Cell and Oncology Patients.Biology of blood and marrow transplantation : journal of the American Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation · 2018
    Trial
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Pathobiology, Severity, and Risk Stratification of Pediatric Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome: From the Second Pediatric Acute Lung Injury Consensus Conference.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2023
    Review
  7. Pediatric Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome in India: Time for Collaborative Study?Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2022
    Article
  8. Refining the Syndrome.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2020
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Comparison of Ventilator-free Days at 14 and 28 days as a Clinical Trial Outcome in Low- and Middle-income Countries.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2020
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Biomarkers in pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome.Annals of translational medicine · 2019
    Review
  14. Positive Cumulative Fluid Balance Is Associated With Mortality in Pediatric Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome in the Setting of Acute Kidney Injury.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2019
    Observational
  15. Acute respiratory distress syndrome.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2019
    Review
  16. Sepsis and Pediatric Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome.Journal of pediatric intensive care · 2019
    Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Intensive Care Mortality Prognostic Model for Pediatric Pulmonary Hypertension.Pediatric critical care medicine : a journal of the Society of Critical Care Medicine and the World Federation of Pediatric Intensive and Critical Care Societies · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Aaron C Spicer1Department of Anesthesia, Critical Care, and Pain Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA.2Departments of Anesthesia and Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA.3Division of Critical Care, Department of Pediatrics, University of California, Benioff Children's Hospital-San Francisco, San Francisco, CA.4Departments of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, Children's Hospital Los Angeles, University of Southern California Keck School of Medicine, Los Angeles, CA.5Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD.6Department of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital of Central California, Fresno, CA.7Department of Pediatrics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI.8Division of Pediatric Critical Care, University of California, San Francisco Benioff Children's Hospital-Oakland, Oakland, CA.9Department of Pediatrics, University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA.
Carolyn S Calfee
Matthew S Zinter
Robinder G Khemani
Victoria P Lo
Mustafa F Alkhouli
Benjamin E Orwoll
Ana L Graciano
Juan P Boriosi
James P Howard
Heidi R Flori
Michael A Matthay
Anil Sapru

Funding

Pediatric Scientist Development Program (PSDP) [K12]K12HD000850 · NICHD · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI Sallie R. Permar · 1987 to 2026
$44.1M
Research Training in Pediatric Critical Care MedicineT32HD049303 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI JEFFREY R FINEMAN · 2006 to 2026
$3.1M
Cigarette Smoke Exposure and Acute Lung Injury After Severe Blunt TraumaR01HL110969 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI CALFEE, CAROLYN · 2012 to 2016
$1.9M
Coagulation and Fibrinolysis in Pediatric Insulin Titration TrialR01HL114484 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI SAPRU, ANIL · 2012 to 2015
$1.6M
Targeted Genomic Analysis of Coagulation Pathways in Acute Lung InjuryK23HL085526 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI SAPRU, ANIL · 2007 to 2011
$756k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL085526NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL110969NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL114484NICHD NIH HHS K12 HD000850NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD049303
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesDespite declining mortality, acute respiratory distress syndrome is still involved in up to one third of pediatric intensive care deaths. The recently convened Pediatric Acute Lung Injury Consensus Conference has outlined research priorities for the field, which include the need for accurate bedside risk stratification of patients. We aimed to develop a simple yet robust model of mortality risk among pediatric patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome to facilitate the targeted application of high-risk investigational therapies and stratification for enrollment in clinical trials.

designProspective, multicenter cohort.

settingFive academic PICUs. PATIENTS: Three hundred eight children greater than 1 month and less than or equal to 18 years old, admitted to the ICU, with bilateral infiltrates on chest radiograph and PaO2/FIO2 ratio less than 300 in the clinical absence of left atrial hypertension.

interventionsNone. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsTwenty clinical variables were recorded in the following six categories: demographics, medical history, oxygenation, ventilation, radiographic imaging, and multiple organ dysfunction. Data were measured 0-24 and 48-72 hours after acute respiratory distress syndrome onset (day 1 and 3) and examined for associations with hospital mortality. Among 308 enrolled patients, mortality was 17%. Children with a history of cancer and/or hematopoietic stem cell transplant had higher mortality (47% vs 11%; p < 0.001). Oxygenation index, the PaO2/FIO2 ratio, extrapulmonary organ dysfunction, Pediatric Risk of Mortality-3, and positive cumulative fluid balance were each associated with mortality. Using two statistical approaches, we found that a parsimonious model of mortality risk using only oxygenation index and cancer/hematopoietic stem cell transplant history performed as well as other more complex models that required additional variables.

conclusionsIn the PICU, oxygenation index and cancer/hematopoietic stem cell transplant history can be used on acute respiratory distress syndrome day 1 or day 3 to predict hospital mortality without the need for more complex models. These findings may simplify risk assessment for clinical trials, counseling families, and high-risk interventions such as extracorporeal life support.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesPoint-of-Care TestingAdolescentChildChild, PreschoolFemaleHumansInfantIntensive Care Units, PediatricLogistic ModelsMaleMultivariate AnalysisPrognosisProspective StudiesRespiratory Distress SyndromeRisk Assessment

Identifiers

PMID27487912
PMCPMC5268071

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.