Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27481133›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Heart Association2016

Soluble ST2 for Prediction of Heart Failure and Cardiovascular Death in an Elderly, Community-Dwelling Population.

Ravi H Parikh, Stephen L Seliger, Robert Christenson, John S Gottdiener, Bruce M Psaty, Christopher R deFilippi

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 51 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
51citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.9field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

51 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 91 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Serum-Soluble ST2 Is a Novel Biomarker for Evaluating Left Atrial Low-Voltage Zone in Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2020
    Trial
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Heart Failure in Older Patients: An Update.Journal of clinical medicine · 2025
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Inflammation in heart failure: pathophysiology and therapeutic strategies.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2024
    Review
  16. Observational
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Ravi H ParikhDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
Stephen L SeligerDivision of Nephrology, Department of Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
Robert ChristensonDepartment of Pathology, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
John S GottdienerDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD.
Bruce M PsatyCardiovascular Health Research Unit, Departments of Medicine, Epidemiology, and Health Services, University of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Christopher R deFilippiInova Heart and Vascular Institute, Inova, Fairfax, VA cdefilip@medicine.umaryland.edu.
University of Maryland, Baltimore · USInova Fairfax Hospital · USUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

Exceptional Survival: Trajectories to Functional Aging (CHS All Stars)R01AG023629 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI NEWMAN, ANNE B. · 2004 to 2016
$9.5M
CHS Events Follow-up StudyU01HL080295 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI PSATY, BRUCE M · 2005 to 2008
$4.6M
CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN THE ELDERLYN01HC085080 · HC · WAKE FOREST UNIVERSITY · PI BURKE, GREGORY L · 1988 to 2000
–
CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65-84N01HC085081 · HC · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI FRIED, LINDA P · 1988 to 2000
–
CHS-Transition Phase -268055222-268055222N01HC055222 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI KRONMAL, RICHARD A · 2005 to 2006
–
CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65-84N01HC085083 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA DAVIS · PI ROBBINS, JOHN A · 1988 to 1999
–
CENTRAL BLOOD ANALYSIS LABORATORY FOR CHSN01HC085086 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF VERMONT &ST AGRIC COLLEGE · PI TRACY, RUSSELL P · 1988 to 2000
–
CORONARY HEART DISEASE AND STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65-84N01HC085082 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI KULLER, LEWIS H · 1988 to 2000
–
CORONARY HEART DISEASE &STROKE IN PEOPLE AGED 65 TO 84N01HC085079 · HC · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · 1988 to 2005
–
NHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268200800007CNHLBI NIH HHS HHSN268201200036CNHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC055222NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085079NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085080NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085081NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085082NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085083NHLBI NIH HHS N01 HC085086NHLBI NIH HHS U01 HL080295NIA NIH HHS R01 AG023629
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSoluble ST2 (sST2), a marker of myocyte stretch and fibrosis, has prognostic value in many cardiovascular diseases. We hypothesized that sST2 levels are associated with incident heart failure (HF), including subtypes of preserved (HFpEF) and reduced (HFrEF) ejection fraction, and cardiovascular death. METHODS AND

resultsBaseline serum sST2 was measured in 3915 older, community-dwelling subjects from the Cardiovascular Health Study without prevalent HF. sST2 levels were associated with older age, male sex, black race, traditional cardiovascular risk factors, other biomarkers of inflammation, cardiac stretch, myocardial injury, and fibrosis, and abnormal echocardiographic parameters. In longitudinal analysis, greater sST2 was associated with a higher risk of incident HF and cardiovascular death; however, in multivariate models adjusting for other cardiac risk factors and the cardiac-specific biomarker, N-terminal pro-type B natriuretic peptide, these associations were attenuated. In these models, an sST2 level above the US Food and Drug Administration-approved cut-off value (>35 ng/mL) was significantly associated with incident HF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.20; 95% CI, 1.02-1.43) and cardiovascular death (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.02-1.44), and greater sST2 was continuously associated with cardiovascular death (per 1-ln increment: HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.02-1.50). sST2 was not associated with the HF subtypes of HFpEF and HFrEF in adjusted analysis. Addition of sST2 to existing risk models of HF and cardiovascular death modestly improved discrimination and reclassification into a higher risk.

conclusionsThe predictive value of sST2 for HF of all subtypes and cardiovascular death is modest in an elderly population despite strong cross-sectional associations with risk factors and underlying cardiac pathology.

Indexed as

AgedAge FactorsBiomarkersCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleHeart FailureHumansIndependent LivingInterleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 ProteinLongitudinal StudiesMaleNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsPrognosisSex FactorsStroke VolumeBiomarkersIL1RL1 protein, humanInterleukin-1 Receptor-Like 1 ProteinNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)Troponin Cbiomarkerepidemiologyheart failureprediction statisticssurvival

Identifiers

PMID27481133
PMCPMC5015272
OpenAlexW2494640832

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.