Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27469514›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of epidemiology2016

An Illustration of Inverse Probability Weighting to Estimate Policy-Relevant Causal Effects.

Jessie K Edwards, Stephen R Cole, Catherine R Lesko, W Christopher Mathews, Richard D Moore, Michael J Mugavero, Daniel Westreich

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of epidemiology, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Smoking Uptake Among Adolescents in Social Housing Australia.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Different effects for different questions: An illustration using short cervix and the risk of preterm birth.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2023
    Article
  8. A Framework for Descriptive Epidemiology.American journal of epidemiology · 2022
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Parental relationship status and age at autism spectrum disorder diagnosis of their child.Autism : the international journal of research and practice · 2021
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jessie K Edwards
Stephen R Cole
Catherine R Lesko
W Christopher Mathews
Richard D Moore
Michael J Mugavero
Daniel Westreich

Funding

Unsolicited R24 for the CFAR-Network of Integrated Clinical Sciences, CNICSR24AI067039 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF ALABAMA AT BIRMINGHAM · PI Michael S. Saag · 2006 to 2026
$99.4M
Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
Vaccine Response and Immunotherapeutics SWGP30AI094189 · NIAID · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Bryan Lau · 2012 to 2026
$67.0M
From patients to policy: innovative epidemiology for implementation scienceDP2HD084070 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI WESTREICH, DANIEL J · 2014 to 2014
$2.3M
Structural models for treatment and exposure effects in clinical HIV cohortsR01AI100654 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI COLE, STEPHEN R · 2013 to 2016
$1.6M
NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI094189NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI100654NIAID NIH HHS R24 AI067039NICHD NIH HHS DP2 HD084070
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Traditional epidemiologic approaches allow us to compare counterfactual outcomes under 2 exposure distributions, usually 100% exposed and 100% unexposed. However, to estimate the population health effect of a proposed intervention, one may wish to compare factual outcomes under the observed exposure distribution to counterfactual outcomes under the exposure distribution produced by an intervention. Here, we used inverse probability weights to compare the 5-year mortality risk under observed antiretroviral therapy treatment plans to the 5-year mortality risk that would had been observed under an intervention in which all patients initiated therapy immediately upon entry into care among patients positive for human immunodeficiency virus in the US Centers for AIDS Research Network of Integrated Clinical Systems multisite cohort study between 1998 and 2013. Therapy-naïve patients (n = 14,700) were followed from entry into care until death, loss to follow-up, or censoring at 5 years or on December 31, 2013. The 5-year cumulative incidence of mortality was 11.65% under observed treatment plans and 10.10% under the intervention, yielding a risk difference of -1.57% (95% confidence interval: -3.08, -0.06). Comparing outcomes under the intervention with outcomes under observed treatment plans provides meaningful information about the potential consequences of new US guidelines to treat all patients with human immunodeficiency virus regardless of CD4 cell count under actual clinical conditions.

Indexed as

ProbabilityAnti-Retroviral AgentsCD4 Lymphocyte CountFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHIV InfectionsHIV SeropositivityHumansIncidenceKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleRiskTime-to-TreatmentUnited StatesAnti-Retroviral Agentsantiretroviral therapycausal inferenceepidemiologic methodsHIVintervention studiespolicytreatment guidelines

Identifiers

PMID27469514
PMCPMC4983650

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.