Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27468812›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2016

Estimating true incidence of O157 and non-O157 Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli illness in Germany based on notification data of haemolytic uraemic syndrome.

A Kuehne, M Bouwknegt, A Havelaar, A Gilsdorf, P Hoyer, K Stark, D Werber, HUS active surveillance network Germany

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed
6.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 42 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Prevalence, virulence factors, and antimicrobial resistance profiles of Shiga toxin-producingVeterinary research forum : an international quarterly journal · 2023
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Do changes in STEC diagnostics mislead interpretation of disease surveillance data in Switzerland? Time trends in positivity, 2007 to 2016.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2020
    Article
  9. Epidemiology of Shiga Toxin-ProducingInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Implementation of multiplex PCR diagnostics for gastrointestinal pathogens linked to increase of notified Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli cases in Norway, 2007-2017.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2019
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. [Infectious diseases and their ICD coding : What could be improved by the introduction of ICD-11?]Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz · 2018
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Haemolytic uremic syndrome surveillance in children less than 15 years in Belgium, 2009-2015.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2018
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

A KuehneRobert Koch Institute (RKI),Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology,Berlin,Germany.
M BouwknegtCentre for Infectious Disease Control,National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM),Bilthoven,The Netherlands.
A HavelaarCentre for Infectious Disease Control,National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM),Bilthoven,The Netherlands.
A GilsdorfRobert Koch Institute (RKI),Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology,Berlin,Germany.
P HoyerClinic for Pediatrics II,Essen University Hospital,University Duisburg-Essen,Essen,Germany.
K StarkRobert Koch Institute (RKI),Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology,Berlin,Germany.
D WerberRobert Koch Institute (RKI),Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology,Berlin,Germany.
HUS active surveillance network Germany
Robert Koch Institute · DEEssen University Hospital · DENational Institute for Public Health and the Environment · NLUniversity of Florida · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) is an important cause of gastroenteritis (GE) and haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS). Incidence of STEC illness is largely underestimated in notification data, particularly of serogroups other than O157 ('non-O157'). Using HUS national notification data (2008-2012, excluding 2011), we modelled true annual incidence of STEC illness in Germany separately for O157 and non-O157 STEC, taking into account the groups' different probabilities of causing bloody diarrhoea and HUS, and the resulting difference in their under-ascertainment. Uncertainty of input parameters was evaluated by stochastic Monte Carlo simulations. Median annual incidence (per 100 000 population) of STEC-associated HUS and STEC-GE was estimated at 0·11 [95% credible interval (CrI) 0·08-0·20], and 35 (95% CrI 12-145), respectively. German notification data underestimated STEC-associated HUS and STEC-GE incidences by factors of 1·8 and 32·3, respectively. Non-O157 STEC accounted for 81% of all STEC-GE, 51% of all bloody STEC-GE and 32% of all STEC-associated HUS cases. Non-O157 serogroups dominate incidence of STEC-GE and contribute significantly to STEC-associated HUS in Germany. This might apply to many other countries considering European surveillance data on HUS. Non-O157 STEC should be considered in parallel with STEC O157 when searching aetiology in patients with GE or HUS, and accounted for in modern surveillance systems.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolDisease NotificationEscherichia coli InfectionsEscherichia coli O157GermanyHemolytic-Uremic SyndromeHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMiddle AgedBurden of illnessenterohaemorrhagic Escherichia coliEscherichia coli O157incidenceMonte Carlo method

Identifiers

PMID27468812
PMCPMC9150202
OpenAlexW2485094428

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.