Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27466237›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2016

Patterns of weight change after the diagnosis of type 2 diabetes in Scotland and their relationship with glycaemic control, mortality and cardiovascular outcomes: a retrospective cohort study.

Lorna S Aucott, Sam Philip, Alison Avenell, Ebenezer Afolabi, Naveed Sattar, Sarah Wild, Scottish Diabetes Research Network Epidemiology Group

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 63 citations in OpenAlex.

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  8. Weight Trajectory Impacts Risk for 10 Distinct Cardiometabolic Diseases.The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism · 2025
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  13. Glycemic Control and Obesity Among People With Type 2 Diabetes in Europe and Australia: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis.Diabetes therapy : research, treatment and education of diabetes and related disorders · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Lorna S AucottSchool of Medicine, Medical Sciences and Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
Sam PhilipDepartment of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Aberdeen Royal Infirmary, NHS Grampian, Aberdeen, UK.
Alison AvenellHealth Services Research Unit, School of Medicine, Medical Sciences and Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK.
Ebenezer AfolabiSchool of Medicine, Medical Sciences and Nutrition, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, UK Arthritis Research UK, Institute for Primary Care and Health Sciences, Keele University, Staffordshire, UK.
Naveed SattarInstitute of Cardiovascular & Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Sarah WildUsher Institute for Population Health Sciences and Informatics, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Scottish Diabetes Research Network Epidemiology Group
University of Aberdeen · GBAberdeen Royal Infirmary · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Glasgow · GB

Funding

Chief Scientist Office CZG/2/571Chief Scientist Office HSRU1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo determine weight change patterns in Scottish patients 2 years after diagnosis of type 2 diabetes and to examine these in association with medium-term glycaemic, mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.

settingUsing a retrospective cohort design, ethical approval was obtained to link the Scottish diabetes care database to hospital admission and mortality records.

participants29 316 overweight/obese patients with incident diabetes diagnosed between 2002 and 2006 were identified with relevant information for ≥2 years. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Weight records over time provided intrapatient weight change and variation and glycated haemoglobin (HbA1c) gave measures of glycaemic control. These characteristics and demographic variables at diagnosis were linked with notifications of death (2-5 years after diagnosis) and cardiovascular events (0-5 year after diagnosis).

resultsBy 2 years, 36% of patients had lost ≥2.5% of their weight. Increasing age, being female and a higher body mass index at diagnosis were associated with larger proportions of weight lost (p<0.001). Multivariable modelling showed that inadequate glycaemic control at 2 years was associated with being younger at baseline, being male, having lower levels of obesity at diagnosis, gaining weight or being weight stable with weight change variability, and starting antidiabetic medication. While weight change itself was not related to mortality or cardiovascular outcomes, major weight variability was independently associated with poorer survival and increased cardiovascular outcome risks, as was deprivation.

conclusionsOur results suggest that weight loss or being weight stable with little weight variability early after diabetes diagnosis, are associated with better glycaemic control and we identified groups less able to lose weight. With respect to mortality and cardiovascular outcomes, although weight change at 2 years was a weak predictor, major weight variability appeared to be the more relevant factor.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexBody WeightDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2AdultAgedBlood GlucoseCardiovascular DiseasesFemaleGlycated HemoglobinHumansHypoglycemic AgentsMaleMiddle AgedObesityOverweightRetrospective StudiesBlood GlucoseGlycated HemoglobinHypoglycemic AgentsPUBLIC HEALTH

Identifiers

PMID27466237
PMCPMC4964186
OpenAlexW2500288906

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.