Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27449769›Full record

ArticleTrials2016

Bayesian accrual prediction for interim review of clinical studies: open source R package and smartphone application.

Yu Jiang, Peter Guarino, Shuangge Ma, Steve Simon, Matthew S Mayo, Rama Raghavan, Byron J Gajewski

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Trials, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Artificial intelligence for optimizing recruitment and retention in clinical trials: a scoping review.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Yu JiangDivision of Epidemiology, Biostatistics, and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, University of Memphis, Memphis, TN, 38152, USA. yjiang4@memphis.edu.
Peter GuarinoCooperative Studies Program, VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, 06516, USA.
Shuangge MaCooperative Studies Program, VA Connecticut Healthcare System, West Haven, CT, 06516, USA.
Steve SimonP.Mean Consulting, Leawood, KS, 66224, USA.
Matthew S MayoDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, 66160, USA.
Rama RaghavanDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, 66160, USA.
Byron J GajewskiDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, 66160, USA.

Funding

Yale Clinical and Translational Science Award (U Component)UL1TR001863 · NCATS · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI John H. Krystal, LUCILA OHNO-MACHADO · 2016 to 2026
$102.9M
Yale Pathology Tissue Services Shared ResourceP30CA016359 · NCI · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI DAVID L RIMM · 1985 to 2026
$85.0M
Transgenic & Gene-Targeting Shared ResourceP30CA168524 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF KANSAS MEDICAL CENTER · PI NICOLE L NOLLEN · 2012 to 2026
$40.1M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001863NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016359NCI NIH HHS P30 CA168524
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSubject recruitment for medical research is challenging. Slow patient accrual leads to increased costs and delays in treatment advances. Researchers need reliable tools to manage and predict the accrual rate. The previously developed Bayesian method integrates researchers' experience on former trials and data from an ongoing study, providing a reliable prediction of accrual rate for clinical studies.

methodsIn this paper, we present a user-friendly graphical user interface program developed in R. A closed-form solution for the total subjects that can be recruited within a fixed time is derived. We also present a built-in Android system using Java for web browsers and mobile devices.

resultsUsing the accrual software, we re-evaluated the Veteran Affairs Cooperative Studies Program 558- ROBOTICS study. The application of the software in monitoring and management of recruitment is illustrated for different stages of the trial.

conclusionsThis developed accrual software provides a more convenient platform for estimation and prediction of the accrual process.

Indexed as

Mobile ApplicationsModels, StatisticalPatient SelectionSample SizeSmartphoneBayes TheoremComputer GraphicsData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansMulticenter Studies as TopicRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicRoboticsStrokeStroke RehabilitationTime FactorsUser-Computer InterfaceBayesian methodsSmartphone applicationStatistical softwareSubject accrual

Identifiers

PMID27449769
PMCPMC4957321

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.