Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27449759›Full record

ArticleStatistics in medicine2016

Identifying cost-effective dynamic policies to control epidemics.

Reza Yaesoubi, Ted Cohen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Statistics in medicine, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Adaptive Policies to Balance Health Benefits and Economic Costs of Physical Distancing Interventions during the COVID-19 Pandemic.Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making · 2021
    Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Reza YaesoubiHealth Policy and Management, Yale School of Public Health, 60 College Street, New Haven, 06520, CT, U.S.A.. reza.yaesoubi@yale.edu.
Ted CohenEpidemiology of Microbial Disease, Yale School of Public Health, 60 College Street, New Haven, 06520, CT, U.S.A.

Funding

Understanding and controlling antibiotic resistanceU54GM088558 · NIGMS · HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI LIPSITCH, MARC · 2009 to 2018
$26.4M
Prevalence, risk factors and consequences of complex M. Tuberculosis infectionsDP2OD006663 · OD · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI COHEN, THEODORE H · 2010 to 2010
$2.7M
Evaluating health and economic effects of targeted strategies in TB/HIVR01AI112438 · NIAID · YALE UNIVERSITY · PI COHEN, THEODORE H, SALOMON, JOSHUA A · 2014 to 2017
$2.4M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI112438NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088558NIH HHS DP2 OD006663
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We describe a mathematical decision model for identifying dynamic health policies for controlling epidemics. These dynamic policies aim to select the best current intervention based on accumulating epidemic data and the availability of resources at each decision point. We propose an algorithm to approximate dynamic policies that optimize the population's net health benefit, a performance measure which accounts for both health and monetary outcomes. We further illustrate how dynamic policies can be defined and optimized for the control of a novel viral pathogen, where a policy maker must decide (i) when to employ or lift a transmission-reducing intervention (e.g. school closure) and (ii) how to prioritize population members for vaccination when a limited quantity of vaccines first become available. Within the context of this application, we demonstrate that dynamic policies can produce higher net health benefit than more commonly described static policies that specify a pre-determined sequence of interventions to employ throughout epidemics. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesHealth PolicyCost-Benefit AnalysisEpidemicsHumansInfluenza, HumanModels, TheoreticalVaccinationapproximate dynamic programmingapproximate policy iterationdynamic resource allocationepidemicsH1N1influenza

Identifiers

PMID27449759
PMCPMC5096998

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.