Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27448668›Full record

ArticleThe American journal of hospice & palliative care2017

Risk Factors for Hospitalization of Home Hospice Enrollees Development and Validation of a Predictive Tool.

Veerawat Phongtankuel, P Johnson, M C Reid, R D Adelman, Z Grinspan, M A Unruh, E Abramson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The American journal of hospice & palliative care, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.3field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Racial Disparities in Hospice Outcomes: A Race or Hospice-Level Effect?Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2018
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Veerawat Phongtankuel1 Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Joan and Sanford I Weill Medical College of Cornell University, New York, NY, USA.
P Johnson2 Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
M C Reid1 Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Joan and Sanford I Weill Medical College of Cornell University, New York, NY, USA.
R D Adelman1 Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatrics and Palliative Medicine, Joan and Sanford I Weill Medical College of Cornell University, New York, NY, USA.
Z Grinspan2 Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
M A Unruh2 Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
E Abramson2 Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
Cornell University · US

Funding

Disparities in COVID Disease Severity and Outcomes in New York CityUL1TR002384 · NCATS · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI JULIANNE L IMPERATO-MCGINLEY · 2017 to 2026
$86.2M
Clinical and Translational Science CenterUL1TR000457 · NCATS · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI IMPERATO-MCGINLEY, JULIANNE L · 2012 to 2016
$46.0M
Reid Aging and Pain Research Training ProgramK24AG053462 · NIA · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI REID, MANNEY CARRINGTON · 2016 to 2025
$1.8M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000457NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002384NIA NIH HHS K24 AG053462
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOver 10% of hospice patients experience at least 1 care transition 6 months prior to death. Transitions at the end of life, particularly from hospice to hospital, result in burdensome and fragmented care for patients and families. Little is known about factors that predict hospitalization in this population.

objectivesTo develop and validate a model predictive of hospitalization after enrollment into home hospice using prehospice admission risk factors.

designRetrospective cohort study using Medicare fee-for-service claims.

participantsPatients enrolled into the Medicare hospice benefit were ≥18 years old in 2012. OUTCOME MEASURED: Hospitalization within 2 days from a hospice discharge.

resultsWe developed a predictive model using 61 947 hospice enrollments, of which 3347 (5.4%) underwent a hospitalization. Seven variables were associated with hospitalization: age 18 to 55 years old (adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 2.94 [2.41-3.59]), black race (2.13 [1.93-2.34]), east region (1.97 [1.73-2.24]), a noncancer diagnosis (1.32 [1.21-1.45]), 4 or more chronic conditions (8.11 [7.19-9.14]), 2 or more prior hospice enrollments (1.75 [1.35-2.26]), and enrollment in a not-for-profit hospice (2.01 [1.86-2.18]). A risk scoring tool ranging from 0 to 29 was developed, and a cutoff score of 18 identified hospitalized patients with a positive predictive value of 22%.

conclusionsReasons for hospitalization among home hospice patients are complex. Patients who are younger, belong to a minority group, and have a greater number of chronic conditions are at increased odds of hospitalization. Our newly developed predictive tool identifies patients at risk for hospitalization and can serve as a benchmark for future model development.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleHospice CareHospitalizationHumansMaleMedicareMiddle AgedMultiple Chronic ConditionsOdds RatioResidence CharacteristicsRetrospective Studiesend-of-lifehealth-care utilizationhome hospicehospicehospitalizationpalliative carepredictive modeling

Identifiers

PMID27448668
PMCPMC5684698
OpenAlexW2503426127

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.