Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27445233›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2016

Underestimated risks of recurrent long-range ash dispersal from northern Pacific Arc volcanoes.

A J Bourne, P M Abbott, P G Albert, E Cook, N J G Pearce, V Ponomareva, A Svensson, S M Davies

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
5.6field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 76 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Greenland Ice Core Record of Last Glacial Dust Sources and Atmospheric Circulation.Journal of geophysical research. Atmospheres : JGR · 2022
    Article
  3. The magnitude and impact of the 431 CE Tierra Blanca Joven eruption of Ilopango, El Salvador.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2020
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

A J BourneDepartment of Geography, College of Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.
P M AbbottDepartment of Geography, College of Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.
P G AlbertDepartment of Geography, College of Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.
E CookDepartment of Geography, College of Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.
N J G PearceDepartment of Geography and Earth Sciences, Aberystwyth University, Aberystwyth, UK.
V PonomarevaInst. of Volcanology and Seismology, Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky, Russia.
A SvenssonCentre for Ice and Climate, Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
S M DaviesDepartment of Geography, College of Science, Swansea University, Swansea, UK.
Swansea University · GBUniversity of Copenhagen · DKAberystwyth University · GBInstitute of Volcanology and Seismology · RU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Widespread ash dispersal poses a significant natural hazard to society, particularly in relation to disruption to aviation. Assessing the extent of the threat of far-travelled ash clouds on flight paths is substantially hindered by an incomplete volcanic history and an underestimation of the potential reach of distant eruptive centres. The risk of extensive ash clouds to aviation is thus poorly quantified. New evidence is presented of explosive Late Pleistocene eruptions in the Pacific Arc, currently undocumented in the proximal geological record, which dispersed ash up to 8000 km from source. Twelve microscopic ash deposits or cryptotephra, invisible to the naked eye, discovered within Greenland ice-cores, and ranging in age between 11.1 and 83.7 ka b2k, are compositionally matched to northern Pacific Arc sources including Japan, Kamchatka, Cascades and Alaska. Only two cryptotephra deposits are correlated to known high-magnitude eruptions (Towada-H, Japan, ca 15 ka BP and Mount St Helens Set M, ca 28 ka BP). For the remaining 10 deposits, there is no evidence of age- and compositionally-equivalent eruptive events in regional volcanic stratigraphies. This highlights the inherent problem of under-reporting eruptions and the dangers of underestimating the long-term risk of widespread ash dispersal for trans-Pacific and trans-Atlantic flight routes.

Identifiers

PMID27445233
PMCPMC4956762
OpenAlexW2494987832

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.