Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27439303›Full record

Observational studyBMC pediatrics2016

HIV-exposed children account for more than half of 24-month mortality in Botswana.

Rebecca Zash, Sajini Souda, Jean Leidner, Heather Ribaudo, Kelebogile Binda, Sikhulile Moyo, Kathleen M Powis, Chipo Petlo, Mompati Mmalane, Joe Makhema and 3 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC pediatrics, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Immunologic and Virologic Factors Associated With Hospitalization in Human Immunodeficiency Virus-Exposed, Uninfected Infants in the United States.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
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  3. Effect of maternal HIV status on the early neonatal microbiome.Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Rebecca ZashBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, 110 Francis Street, Suite GB, Boston, MA, 02215, USA. rzash@bidmc.harvard.edu.
Sajini SoudaUniversity of Botswana, Faculty of Health Sciences, Gaborone, Botswana.
Jean LeidnerGoodtables Data Consulting, Oklahoma, USA.
Heather RibaudoHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 651 Huntington Ave, Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
Kelebogile BindaBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.
Sikhulile MoyoBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.
Kathleen M PowisBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.
Chipo PetloMinistry of Health, Gaborone, Botswana.
Mompati MmalaneBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.
Joe MakhemaBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.
Max EssexBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.
Shahin LockmanBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.
Roger ShapiroBotswana Harvard AIDS Institute Parternship, Private Bag BO320, Gaborone, Botswana.

Funding

PROGRAM FOR AIDS CLINICAL RESEARCH TRAINING (PACRT)T32AI007433 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI MARK J SIEDNER · 1992 to 2026
$11.4M
BUILDING HUMAN RESOURCE CAPACITY TO SUPPORT PREVENTION, CARE & TREATMENT, STRATEGU2GPS000941 · PS · PREMIERE · PI WILSON, CAROLYN JUNE · 2008 to 2012
$8.8M
Training in HIV Genomics, Treatment, and Cure Research in BotswanaD43TW009610 · FIC · THE BOTSWANA HARVARD HEALTH PARTNERSHIP · PI SHAHIN LOCKMAN, Joseph Moeketsi Makhema · 2013 to 2026
$4.4M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW009610NCHHSTP CDC HHS U2G PS000941NIAID NIH HHS T32 AI007433
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe contribution of HIV-exposure to childhood mortality in a setting with widespread antiretroviral treatment (ART) availability has not been determined.

methodsFrom January 2012 to March 2013, mothers were enrolled within 48 h of delivery at 5 government postpartum wards in Botswana. Participants were followed by phone 1-3 monthly for 24 months. Risk factors for 24-month survival were assessed by Cox proportional hazards modeling.

resultsThree thousand mothers (1499 HIV-infected) and their 3033 children (1515 HIV-exposed) were enrolled. During pregnancy 58 % received three-drug ART, 23 % received zidovudine alone, 11 % received no antiretrovirals (8 % unknown); 2.1 % of children were HIV-infected by 24 months. Vital status at 24 months was known for 3018 (99.5 %) children; 106 (3.5 %) died including 12 (38 %) HIV-infected, 70 (4.7 %) HIV-exposed uninfected, and 24 (1.6 %) HIV-unexposed. Risk factors for mortality were child HIV-infection (aHR 22.6, 95 % CI 10.7, 47.5 %), child HIV-exposure (aHR 2.7, 95 % CI 1.7, 4.5) and maternal death (aHR 8.9, 95 % CI 2.1, 37.1). Replacement feeding predicted mortality when modeled separately from HIV-exposure (aHR 2.3, 95 % CI 1.5, 3.6), but colinearity with HIV-exposure status precluded investigation of its independent effect. Applied at the population level (26 % maternal HIV prevalence), an estimated 52 % of child mortality occurs among HIV-exposed or HIV-infected children.

conclusionsIn a programmatic setting with high maternal HIV prevalence and widespread maternal and child ART availability, HIV-exposed and HIV-infected children still account for most deaths at 24 months. Lack of breastfeeding was a likely contributor to excess mortality among HIV-exposed children.

Indexed as

Child MortalityInfant MortalityAnti-HIV AgentsBotswanaBreast FeedingChild, PreschoolFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHIV InfectionsHumansInfantInfectious Disease Transmission, VerticalMalePregnancyPregnancy Complications, InfectiousProportional Hazards ModelsAnti-HIV AgentsBreastfeedingChild mortalityHIV-exposed uninfectedHIV-infected childrenPMTCTSub-Saharan Africa

Identifiers

PMID27439303
PMCPMC4955224

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.