ReviewAnnals of the New York Academy of Sciences2016
Observed and projected drivers of emerging infectious diseases in Europe.
Review in Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Pooled it
- Natural disasters and infectious disease in Europe: a literature review to identify cascading risk pathways.European journal of public health · 2020Pooled it
- Early warning and predicting of COVID-19 using zero-inflated negative binomial regression model and negative binomial regression model.BMC infectious diseases · 2024Article
- Phylodynamic and phylogeographic reconstruction of porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) in Europe: Patterns and determinants.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2022Article
- Climate change and infectious disease in Europe: Impact, projection and adaptation.The Lancet regional health. Europe · 2021Review
- Tick-Borne Pathogens and Diseases in Greece.Microorganisms · 2021Review
- The spatiotemporal distribution of historical malaria cases in Sweden: a climatic perspective.Malaria journal · 2021Article
- Tracking infectious diseases in a warming world.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2020Article
- Review
- Systemic resilience to cross-border infectious disease threat events in Europe.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2019Article
- Climate change impact on migration, travel, travel destinations and the tourism industry.Journal of travel medicine · 2019Review
- Using Big Data to Monitor the Introduction and Spread of Chikungunya, Europe, 2017.Emerging infectious diseases · 2019Review
- The extensive networks of frequent population mobility in the Samoan Islands and their implications for infectious disease transmission.Scientific reports · 2018Article
- A comparison of weather variables linked to infectious disease patterns using laboratory addresses and patient residence addresses.BMC infectious diseases · 2018Article
- Vector-borne diseases and climate change: a European perspective.FEMS microbiology letters · 2018Review
- Epidemic psychiatry: The opportunities and challenges of COVID-19.General hospital psychiatryArticle
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Emerging infectious diseases are of international concern because of the potential for, and impact of, pandemics; however, they are difficult to predict. To identify the drivers of disease emergence, we analyzed infectious disease threat events (IDTEs) detected through epidemic intelligence collected at the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) between 2008 and 2013, and compared the observed results with a 2008 ECDC foresight study of projected drivers of future IDTEs in Europe. Among 10 categories of IDTEs, foodborne and waterborne IDTEs were the most common, vaccine-preventable IDTEs caused the highest number of cases, and airborne IDTEs caused the most deaths. Observed drivers for each IDTE were sorted into three main groups: globalization and environmental drivers contributed to 61% of all IDTEs, public health system drivers contributed to 21%, and social and demographic drivers to 18%. A multiple logistic regression analysis showed that four of the top five drivers for observed IDTEs were in the globalization and environment group. In the observational study, the globalization and environment group was related to all IDTE categories, but only to five of eight categories in the foresight study. Directly targeting these drivers with public health interventions may diminish the chances of IDTE occurrence from the outset.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.