Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27431296›Full record

ArticleMolecular psychiatry2017

Predicting educational achievement from DNA.

S Selzam, E Krapohl, S von Stumm, P F O'Reilly, K Rimfeld, Y Kovas, P S Dale, J J Lee, R Plomin

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Molecular psychiatry, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 80 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
80citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

80 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
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  10. The Geneticization of Education and Its Bioethical Implications.Cambridge quarterly of healthcare ethics : CQ : the international journal of healthcare ethics committees · 2024
    Article
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  14. Statistical Methods for Disease Risk Prediction with Genotype Data.Methods in molecular biology (Clifton, N.J.) · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
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  20. Three legs of the missing heritability problem.Studies in history and philosophy of science · 2022
    Article

20 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

S SelzamKing's College London, MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, London, UK.
E KrapohlKing's College London, MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, London, UK.
S von StummDepartment of Psychology, Goldsmiths University of London, London, UK.
P F O'ReillyKing's College London, MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, London, UK.
K RimfeldKing's College London, MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, London, UK.
Y KovasKing's College London, MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, London, UK.
P S DaleDepartment of Speech and Hearing Sciences, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, USA.
J J LeeDepartment of Psychology, University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
R PlominKing's College London, MRC Social, Genetic and Developmental Psychiatry Centre, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, London, UK.

Funding

Genetics, School environments and cognitive developmentR01HD044454 · NICHD · KING'S COLLEGE LONDON · PI PLOMIN, ROBERT · 2005 to 2014
$3.4M
Genetics of Mathematical Cognition and DisabilitiesR01HD059215 · NICHD · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI PETRILL, STEPHEN A. · 2009 to 2012
$2.4M
Medical Research Council G0901245Medical Research Council G19/2Medical Research Council MR/M021475/1Medical Research Council MR/N015746/1NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD044454NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD059215
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

A genome-wide polygenic score (GPS), derived from a 2013 genome-wide association study (N=127,000), explained 2% of the variance in total years of education (EduYears). In a follow-up study (N=329,000), a new EduYears GPS explains up to 4%. Here, we tested the association between this latest EduYears GPS and educational achievement scores at ages 7, 12 and 16 in an independent sample of 5825 UK individuals. We found that EduYears GPS explained greater amounts of variance in educational achievement over time, up to 9% at age 16, accounting for 15% of the heritable variance. This is the strongest GPS prediction to date for quantitative behavioral traits. Individuals in the highest and lowest GPS septiles differed by a whole school grade at age 16. Furthermore, EduYears GPS was associated with general cognitive ability (~3.5%) and family socioeconomic status (~7%). There was no evidence of an interaction between EduYears GPS and family socioeconomic status on educational achievement or on general cognitive ability. These results are a harbinger of future widespread use of GPS to predict genetic risk and resilience in the social and behavioral sciences.

Indexed as

Educational StatusGenetic TestingAdolescentChildFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMultifactorial InheritancePolymorphism, Single NucleotideSocial ClassUnited Kingdom

Identifiers

PMID27431296
PMCPMC5285461

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.