ArticleMalaria journal2016
Modelling the influence of temperature and rainfall on the population dynamics of Anopheles arabiensis.
Article in Malaria journal, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
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Who cites it
65 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 156 citations in OpenAlex.
- Characterisation of between-cluster heterogeneity in malaria cluster randomised trials to inform future sample size calculations.Nature communications · 2025Pooled it
- Epidemiological models for predicting Ross River virus in Australia: A systematic review.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2020Pooled it
- Extension of efficacy range for targeted malaria-elimination interventions due to spillover effects.Nature medicine · 2024Trial
- Improving predictions of insect harassment for barren-ground caribou in the Arctic.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Divergent urban-rural drivers of malaria vector ecology: a 6-year One Health longitudinal study in China.Parasites & vectors · 2026Article
- Population size and dispersal of Anopheles coluzzii on São Tomé and Príncipe Islands based on mark-release-recapture.Journal of medical entomology · 2026Article
- Spatio-temporal modelling and prediction of Anopheles mosquito abundance in Tanga and Unguja, Tanzania: climatic drivers and insights for malaria early warning and vector control strategies.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Comparing three approaches to modelling the effects of temperature and rainfall on malaria incidence in different climatic regions.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Climatic and governance determinants of malaria transmission in Rivers State, Nigeria.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Geographic variation in malaria prevalence among children under five in coastal and inland counties of Liberia: analysis of the 2022 Malaria Indicator Survey.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Effects of small-scale temperature shifts on Aedes mosquito production and the influence of environmental conditions on quality assessment with the FAO/IAEA flight test device.Parasite (Paris, France) · 2026Article
- Spatial modeling of the population dynamics of Anopheles mosquitoes in Madagascar.International journal of health geographics · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal expansion of Aedes aegypti and the dengue fever epidemic under climate change in China.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- UnravellingPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- The dissemination potential of Microsporidia MB in Anopheles arabiensis mosquitoes is modulated by temperature.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Integrating geospatial tools is crucial for enhancing control strategies against human lymphatic filarial infections in Ghana: A comprehensive review.Parasite epidemiology and control · 2025Review
- Bayesian spatio-temporal modeling and prediction of malaria cases in Tanzania mainland (2016-2023): unveiling associations with climate and intervention factors.International journal of health geographics · 2025Article
- Spatial and temporal variation of malaria incidence in children under 10 years in a pyrethroid-resistant vector area in southern Benin.Malaria journal · 2025Article
- Modeling the variability of temperature on the population dynamics of Anopheles arabiensis.BMC research notes · 2025Article
- An updated checklist ofZooKeys · 2025Article
5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundMalaria continues to be one of the most devastating diseases in the world, killing more humans than any other infectious disease. Malaria parasites are entirely dependent on Anopheles mosquitoes for transmission. For this reason, vector population dynamics is a crucial determinant of malaria risk. Consequently, it is important to understand the biology of malaria vector mosquitoes in the study of malaria transmission. Temperature and precipitation also play a significant role in both aquatic and adult stages of the Anopheles.
methodsIn this study, a climate-based, ordinary-differential-equation model is developed to analyse how temperature and the availability of water affect mosquito population size. In the model, the influence of ambient temperature on the development and the mortality rate of Anopheles arabiensis is considered over a region in KwaZulu-Natal Province, South Africa. In particular, the model is used to examine the impact of climatic factors on the gonotrophic cycle and the dynamics of mosquito population over the study region.
resultsThe results fairly accurately quantify the seasonality of the population of An. arabiensis over the region and also demonstrate the influence of climatic factors on the vector population dynamics. The model simulates the population dynamics of both immature and adult An. arabiensis. The simulated larval density produces a curve which is similar to observed data obtained from another study.
conclusionThe model is efficiently developed to predict An. arabiensis population dynamics, and to assess the efficiency of various control strategies. In addition, the model framework is built to accommodate human population dynamics with the ability to predict malaria incidence in future.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.