Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27417495›Full record

ReviewScience (New York, N.Y.)2016

Assessing the global threat from Zika virus.

Justin Lessler, Lelia H Chaisson, Lauren M Kucirka, Qifang Bi, Kyra Grantz, Henrik Salje, Andrea C Carcelen, Cassandra T Ott, Jeanne S Sheffield, Neil M Ferguson and 3 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 211 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
211citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

211 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Trial
  5. Article
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  7. Article
  8. Predicting environmental suitability and future spread range ofInternational journal of applied earth observation and geoinformation : ITC journal · 2026
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  9. Review
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  20. Transcriptome analysis ofCurrent research in parasitology & vector-borne diseases · 2025
    Article

151 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Justin LesslerDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. justin@jhu.edu.
Lelia H ChaissonDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Lauren M KucirkaDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Qifang BiDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Kyra GrantzDepartment of Biology, Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Henrik SaljeDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA. Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.
Andrea C CarcelenDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Cassandra T OttDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Jeanne S SheffieldDepartment of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Neil M FergusonDepartment of Medicine, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Derek A T CummingsDepartment of Biology, Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
C Jessica E MetcalfDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA. Office of Population Research, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Isabel Rodriguez-BarraquerDepartment of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Funding

MEDICAL SCIENTIST TRAINING PROGRAMT32GM007309 · NIGMS · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI COX, ANDREA L · 1985 to 2019
$43.2M
Training, Outreach & Diversity ComponentU54GM088491 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI LAKOSKI, JOAN M · 2009 to 2018
$16.7M
Scientific and Technical Computing CoreP2CHD047879 · NICHD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI MASSEY, DOUGLAS S · 2014 to 2018
$2.0M
Models for synthesising molecular, clinical and epidemiological data, and translaU01GM110721 · NIGMS · IMPERIAL COLLEGE OF SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY AND MEDICINE · PI CAUCHEMEZ, SIMON, FERGUSON, NEIL MORRIS · 2014 to 2018
$1.9M
Medical Research Council MC_PC_15091Medical Research Council MR/K010174/1NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD047879NIGMS NIH HHS T32 GM007309NIGMS NIH HHS U01 GM110721NIGMS NIH HHS U54 GM088491
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

First discovered in 1947, Zika virus (ZIKV) infection remained a little-known tropical disease until 2015, when its apparent association with a considerable increase in the incidence of microcephaly in Brazil raised alarms worldwide. There is limited information on the key factors that determine the extent of the global threat from ZIKV infection and resulting complications. Here, we review what is known about the epidemiology, natural history, and public health effects of ZIKV infection, the empirical basis for this knowledge, and the critical knowledge gaps that need to be filled.

Indexed as

Zika VirusAnimalsBiomedical ResearchBrazilCulexDrug DesignFemaleGlobal HealthHumansIncidenceMicrocephalyPhylogenyPregnancyPregnancy Complications, InfectiousPublic HealthZika Virus Infection

Identifiers

PMID27417495
PMCPMC5467639

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.