Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27417028›Full record

ArticleDevelopment and psychopathology2017

From alcohol initiation to tolerance to problems: Discordant twin modeling of a developmental process.

Arielle R Deutsch, Wendy S Slutske, Michael T Lynskey, Kathleen K Bucholz, Pamela A F Madden, Andrew C Heath, Nicholas G Martin

Abstract readTwin Study
In one paragraph

Article in Development and psychopathology, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Arielle R DeutschUniversity of Missouri-Columbia.
Wendy S SlutskeUniversity of Missouri-Columbia.
Michael T LynskeyWashington University School of Medicine.
Kathleen K BucholzWashington University School of Medicine.
Pamela A F MaddenWashington University School of Medicine.
Andrew C HeathWashington University School of Medicine.
Nicholas G MartinQIMR Berghofer Medical Research Institute.

Funding

Cannabis and Other Illicit Drug Use: A Twin StudyR01DA018267 · NIDA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI LYNSKEY, MICHAEL THOMAS · 2005 to 2009
$2.4M
Genetic Epideniologic Models of Alcohol AbuseR37AA007728 · NIAAA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI HEATH, ANDREW C. · 1998 to 2007
$2.2M
Examining alcohol use: Integrating behavior genetic and developmental approachesF32AA023133 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI-COLUMBIA · PI DEUTSCH, ARIELLE R. · 2014 to 2015
$118k
NATURAL HISTORY OF ALCOHOL USE &ABUSE--GENETIC MODELSR01AA007728 · NIAAA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI HEATH, ANDREW C. · 1988 to 1998
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NIAAA NIH HHS F32 AA023133NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA007728NIAAA NIH HHS R37 AA007728NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA018267
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The current study examined a stage-based alcohol use trajectory model to test for potential causal effects of earlier drinking milestones on later drinking milestones in a combined sample of two cohorts of Australian monozygotic and same-sex dizygotic twins (N = 7,398, age M = 30.46, SD = 2.61, 61% male, 56% monozygotic twins). Ages of drinking, drunkenness, regular drinking, tolerance, first nontolerance alcohol use disorder symptom, and alcohol use disorder symptom onsets were assessed retrospectively. Ages of milestone attainment (i.e., age-of-onset) and time between milestones (i.e., time-to-event) were examined via frailty models within a multilevel discordant twin design. For age-of-onset models, earlier ages of onset of antecedent drinking milestones increased hazards for earlier ages of onset for more proximal subsequent drinking milestones. For the time-to-event models, however, earlier ages of onset for the "starting" milestone decreased risk for a shorter time period between the starting and the "ending" milestone. Earlier age of onset of intermediate milestones between starting and ending drinking milestones had the opposite effect, increasing risk for a shorter time period between the starting and ending milestones. These results are consistent with a causal effect of an earlier age of drinking milestone onset on temporally proximal subsequent drinking milestones.

Indexed as

Twins, DizygoticTwins, MonozygoticAdolescentAdultAge of OnsetAlcohol DrinkingAlcoholic IntoxicationAlcoholismAustraliaDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID27417028
PMCPMC5479740

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.