Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27412902›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2016

No Decline in the Risk of Stroke Following Incident Atrial Fibrillation Since 2000 in the Community: A Concerning Trend.

Alanna M Chamberlain, Robert D Brown, Alvaro Alonso, Bernard J Gersh, Jill M Killian, Susan A Weston, Véronique L Roger

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
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  8. Atrial fibrillation: villain or bystander in vascular brain injury.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2020
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  10. Observational
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  13. All-Cause, Stroke/Systemic Embolism-, and Major Bleeding-Related Health-Care Costs Among Elderly Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Oral Anticoagulants.Clinical and applied thrombosis/hemostasis : official journal of the International Academy of Clinical and Applied Thrombosis/Hemostasis · 2018
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Alanna M ChamberlainDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN chamberlain.alanna@mayo.edu.
Robert D BrownDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Alvaro AlonsoDivision of Epidemiology and Community Health, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN.
Bernard J GershDivision of Cardiovascular Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Jill M KillianDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Susan A WestonDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Véronique L RogerDepartment of Health Sciences Research, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN Division of Cardiovascular Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN.
Mayo Clinic · USMayo Clinic in Arizona · USMayo Clinic in Florida · USUniversity of Minnesota · US

Funding

Rochester Epidemiology ProjectR01AG034676 · NIA · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI ROCCA, WALTER A, ST SAUVER, JENNIFER LYNN · 2010 to 2019
$9.5M
American Heart Association-American Stroke Association 16EIA26410001NIA NIH HHS R01 AG034676
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile atrial fibrillation is a recognized risk factor for stroke, contemporary data on trends in stroke incidence after the diagnosis of atrial fibrillation are scarce. METHODS AND

resultsOlmsted County, MN residents with incident atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter (collectively referred to as AF) from 2000 to 2010 were identified. Cox regression determined associations of year of AF diagnosis with ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack (TIA) occurring through 2013. Among 3247 AF patients, 321 (10%) had an ischemic stroke/TIA over a mean of 4.6 years (incidence rate [95% CI] per 100 person-years: 2.14 [1.91-2.38]). Two hundred thirty-nine (7%) of 3265 AF patients experienced an ischemic stroke (incidence rate: 1.54 [1.35-1.75]). The risk of both outcomes remained unchanged over time after adjusting for demographics and comorbidities (hazard ratio [95% CI] per year of AF diagnosis: 1.00 [0.96-1.04] for ischemic stroke/TIA; 1.01 [0.96-1.06] for ischemic stroke only). In analyses restricted to patients with prescription information, the rates of anticoagulation use did not change over time, reaching 50.8% at 1 year after AF diagnosis. Further adjustment for anticoagulation use did not alter the temporal trends in stroke incidence (hazard ratio [95% CI] per year of AF diagnosis: 1.06 [0.97-1.15] for ischemic stroke/TIA; 1.08 [0.98-1.20] for ischemic stroke only).

conclusionsStrokes/TIAs are frequent after AF, occurring in 10% of patients after 5 years of follow-up. The occurrence of stroke/TIA did not decline over the last decade, which may be influenced by a leveling off of anticoagulation use. This concerning trend has major public health implications.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAtrial FibrillationFemaleHumansIncidenceIschemic Attack, TransientMaleMiddle AgedMinnesotaRisk FactorsStrokeYoung Adultatrial fibrillationischemic stroketemporal trendstransient ischemic attack

Identifiers

PMID27412902
PMCPMC4937280
OpenAlexW2441025241

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.