Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27402742›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2016

Genetic evidence for natural selection in humans in the contemporary United States.

Jonathan P Beauchamp

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
16.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 133 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Polygenic prediction of human complex traits using ancient DNA.Current opinion in genetics & development · 2025
    Review
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. GWAS on birth year infant mortality rates provides evidence of recent natural selection.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Human adaptation over the past 40,000 years.Current opinion in genetics & development · 2020
    Review
  20. Using genetics for social science.Nature human behaviour · 2020
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jonathan P BeauchampDepartment of Economics, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138 jonathan.pierre.beauchamp@gmail.com.
Harvard University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Recent findings from molecular genetics now make it possible to test directly for natural selection by analyzing whether genetic variants associated with various phenotypes have been under selection. I leverage these findings to construct polygenic scores that use individuals' genotypes to predict their body mass index, educational attainment (EA), glucose concentration, height, schizophrenia, total cholesterol, and (in females) age at menarche. I then examine associations between these scores and fitness to test whether natural selection has been occurring. My study sample includes individuals of European ancestry born between 1931 and 1953 who participated in the Health and Retirement Study, a representative study of the US population. My results imply that natural selection has been slowly favoring lower EA in both females and males, and are suggestive that natural selection may have favored a higher age at menarche in females. For EA, my estimates imply a rate of selection of about -1.5 mo of education per generation (which pales in comparison with the increases in EA observed in contemporary times). Although they cannot be projected over more than one generation, my results provide additional evidence that humans are still evolving-albeit slowly, especially compared with the rapid changes that have occurred over the past few generations due to cultural and environmental factors.

Indexed as

Selection, GeneticAgedBlood GlucoseBody HeightBody Mass IndexCholesterolEducational StatusFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMenarcheMiddle AgedModels, GeneticPhenotypeSchizophreniaBlood GlucoseCholesteroleducational attainmenthuman evolutionmenarchenatural selectionpolygenic scores

Identifiers

PMID27402742
PMCPMC4948342
OpenAlexW2470195001

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.